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An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
Water vapor and lapse rate feedbacks in the climate system
R Colman, BJ Soden - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2021 - APS
Water vapor is a greenhouse gas that dominates Earth's terrestrial radiation absorption. As
the planetary temperature warms, forced by increasing CO 2 and other greenhouse gases …
the planetary temperature warms, forced by increasing CO 2 and other greenhouse gases …
Global warming in the pipeline
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change yields Charney
(fast-feedback) equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.2±0.3° C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8° C±1.2° …
(fast-feedback) equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.2±0.3° C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8° C±1.2° …
Escalating global exposure to compound heat-humidity extremes with warming
Heat stress harms human health, agriculture, the economy, and the environment more
broadly. Exposure to heat stress is increasing with rising global temperatures. While most …
broadly. Exposure to heat stress is increasing with rising global temperatures. While most …
[HTML][HTML] Emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity in CMIP5: do they hold for CMIP6?
M Schlund, A Lauer, P Gentine… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
An important metric for temperature projections is the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS),
which is defined as the global mean surface air temperature change caused by a doubling …
which is defined as the global mean surface air temperature change caused by a doubling …
Robust decrease in El Niño/Southern Oscillation amplitude under long-term warming
Abstract El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary mode of interannual climate
variability, and understanding its response to climate change is critical, but research remains …
variability, and understanding its response to climate change is critical, but research remains …
Contrasting fast and slow intertropical convergence zone migrations linked to delayed Southern Ocean warming
Migrations of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) have significant impacts on tropical
climate and society. Here we examine the ITCZ migration caused by CO2 increase using …
climate and society. Here we examine the ITCZ migration caused by CO2 increase using …
Equilibrium climate sensitivity estimated by equilibrating climate models
M Rugenstein, J Bloch‐Johnson… - Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The methods to quantify equilibrium climate sensitivity are still debated. We collect millennial‐
length simulations of coupled climate models and show that the global mean equilibrium …
length simulations of coupled climate models and show that the global mean equilibrium …
Collapsed upwelling projected to weaken ENSO under sustained warming beyond the twenty-first century
Abstract The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in a warming climate has been studied
extensively, but the response beyond 2100 has received little attention. Here, using long …
extensively, but the response beyond 2100 has received little attention. Here, using long …
Tibetan Plateau amplification of climate extremes under global warming of 1.5 C, 2 C and 3 C
Global warming may increase the frequency of climate extremes, but systematic
examinations at different temperature thresholds are unknown over the Tibetan Plateau …
examinations at different temperature thresholds are unknown over the Tibetan Plateau …