[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
[HTML][HTML] Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future
R Weron - International journal of forecasting, 2014 - Elsevier
A variety of methods and ideas have been tried for electricity price forecasting (EPF) over the
last 15 years, with varying degrees of success. This review article aims to explain the …
last 15 years, with varying degrees of success. This review article aims to explain the …
A review of very short-term wind and solar power forecasting
R Tawn, J Browell - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2022 - Elsevier
Installed capacities of wind and solar power have grown rapidly over recent years, and the
pool of literature on very short-term (minutes-to hours-ahead) wind and solar forecasting has …
pool of literature on very short-term (minutes-to hours-ahead) wind and solar forecasting has …
Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
Model averaging and its use in economics
MFJ Steel - Journal of Economic Literature, 2020 - aeaweb.org
The method of model averaging has become an important tool to deal with model
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …
Combining probabilistic load forecasts
Probabilistic load forecasts provide comprehensive information about future load
uncertainties. In recent years, many methodologies and techniques have been proposed for …
uncertainties. In recent years, many methodologies and techniques have been proposed for …
Fusion of probability density functions
Fusing probabilistic information is a fundamental task in signal and data processing with
relevance to many fields of technology and science. In this work, we investigate the fusion of …
relevance to many fields of technology and science. In this work, we investigate the fusion of …
Optimal prediction pools
J Geweke, G Amisano - Journal of Econometrics, 2011 - Elsevier
We consider the properties of weighted linear combinations of prediction models, or linear
pools, evaluated using the log predictive scoring rule. Although exactly one model has …
pools, evaluated using the log predictive scoring rule. Although exactly one model has …
Optimal forecast combination based on neural networks for time series forecasting
Research indicates that forecast combination is one of the most important and effective
approaches for time series forecasting. The success of forecast combination depends on …
approaches for time series forecasting. The success of forecast combination depends on …
Model averaging in economics: An overview
E Moral‐Benito - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Standard practice in empirical research is based on two steps: first, researchers select a
model from the space of all possible models; second, they proceed as if the selected model …
model from the space of all possible models; second, they proceed as if the selected model …