[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice

F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

[HTML][HTML] Electricity price forecasting: A review of the state-of-the-art with a look into the future

R Weron - International journal of forecasting, 2014 - Elsevier
A variety of methods and ideas have been tried for electricity price forecasting (EPF) over the
last 15 years, with varying degrees of success. This review article aims to explain the …

A review of very short-term wind and solar power forecasting

R Tawn, J Browell - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2022 - Elsevier
Installed capacities of wind and solar power have grown rapidly over recent years, and the
pool of literature on very short-term (minutes-to hours-ahead) wind and solar forecasting has …

Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review

X Wang, RJ Hyndman, F Li, Y Kang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …

Model averaging and its use in economics

MFJ Steel - Journal of Economic Literature, 2020 - aeaweb.org
The method of model averaging has become an important tool to deal with model
uncertainty, for example in situations where a large amount of different theories exist, as are …

Combining probabilistic load forecasts

Y Wang, N Zhang, Y Tan, T Hong… - … on Smart Grid, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Probabilistic load forecasts provide comprehensive information about future load
uncertainties. In recent years, many methodologies and techniques have been proposed for …

Fusion of probability density functions

G Koliander, Y El-Laham, PM Djurić… - Proceedings of the …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Fusing probabilistic information is a fundamental task in signal and data processing with
relevance to many fields of technology and science. In this work, we investigate the fusion of …

Optimal prediction pools

J Geweke, G Amisano - Journal of Econometrics, 2011 - Elsevier
We consider the properties of weighted linear combinations of prediction models, or linear
pools, evaluated using the log predictive scoring rule. Although exactly one model has …

Optimal forecast combination based on neural networks for time series forecasting

L Wang, Z Wang, H Qu, S Liu - Applied soft computing, 2018 - Elsevier
Research indicates that forecast combination is one of the most important and effective
approaches for time series forecasting. The success of forecast combination depends on …

Model averaging in economics: An overview

E Moral‐Benito - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Standard practice in empirical research is based on two steps: first, researchers select a
model from the space of all possible models; second, they proceed as if the selected model …