Seasonal and interannual variation of equatorial waves in ERA5 and GloSea5

GY Yang, X Feng, K Hodges - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This study presents an analysis of the equatorial waves in the ERA5 reanalysis and
forecasts of the Met Office Global Seasonal Forecast System version 5 (GloSea5), by …

Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall

J Dorrington, C Grams, F Grazzini… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
A number of studies have investigated the large‐scale drivers and upstream precursors of
extreme weather events, making it clear that the earliest warning signs of extreme events …

Local identification of equatorial Kelvin waves in real‐time operational forecasts

JB Cruz, JM Castanheira… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Equatorial Kelvin waves (KWs) are associated with a variety of equatorial
atmospheric phenomena, namely, tropical convection, cloud and precipitation variability …

The structure of Borneo vortices and their relationship with cold surges, the Madden–Julian oscillation and equatorial waves

J Crook, S Hardy, J Methven… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The Borneo vortex (BV) is a synoptic‐scale vorticity feature found in the South China Sea
near Borneo during extended Boreal winter, which can bring heavy rain to the region …

A vorticity budget for theoretical and convectively coupled equatorial Rossby waves: Dynamical propagation and growth mechanisms

AJ Matthews - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Convectively coupled equatorial Rossby waves (CCERWs) are westward‐propagating
tropical weather systems that can trigger extreme precipitation and flooding. Here, vorticity …

Comparison of probabilistic forecasts of extreme precipitation for a global and convection‐permitting ensemble and hybrid statistical–dynamical method based on …

G Wolf, S Ferrett, J Methven, THA Frame… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Recent work has demonstrated that skilful hybrid statistical–dynamical forecasts of heavy
rainfall events in Southeast Asia can be made by combining model forecasts of the phases …

Sensitivity and predictability of an extreme rainfall event in Sulawesi, Indonesia

JD Doyle, CA Reynolds, M Flatau, B Latos - SOLA, 2023 - jstage.jst.go.jp
Abstract 1 The Makassar Peninsula in southwestern Sulawesi, Indonesia, experienced its
largest 2 flood in its recorded history in January 2019. Four-day accumulated rainfall …