Collective behavior of earthquakes and faults: Continuum‐discrete transitions, progressive evolutionary changes, and different dynamic regimes

Y Ben‐Zion - Reviews of Geophysics, 2008 - Wiley Online Library
Crustal deformation patterns are affected by multiscale granulation and healing processes
associated with phase transitions between continuum and discrete states of rocks. The …

Statistical physics approach to understanding the multiscale dynamics of earthquake fault systems

JB Rundle, DL Turcotte, R Shcherbakov… - Reviews of …, 2003 - Wiley Online Library
Earthquakes and the faults upon which they occur interact over a wide range of spatial and
temporal scales. In addition, many aspects of regional seismicity appear to be stochastic …

The complex dynamics of earthquake fault systems: New approaches to forecasting and nowcasting of earthquakes

JB Rundle, S Stein, A Donnellan… - Reports on progress …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
Charles Richter's observation that'only fools and charlatans predict earthquakes,'reflects the
fact that despite more than 100 years of effort, seismologists remain unable to do so with …

Nowcasting earthquakes: Imaging the earthquake cycle in California with machine learning

JB Rundle, A Donnellan, G Fox… - Earth and Space …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a new machine learning‐based method for nowcasting earthquakes to image
the time‐dependent earthquake cycle. The result is a timeseries that may correspond to the …

Nowcasting earthquakes by visualizing the earthquake cycle with machine learning: A comparison of two methods

JB Rundle, A Donnellan, G Fox, JP Crutchfield - Surveys in Geophysics, 2022 - Springer
The earthquake cycle of stress accumulation and release is associated with the elastic
rebound hypothesis proposed by HF Reid following the M7. 9 San Francisco earthquake of …

Earthquake forecasting and its verification

JR Holliday, KZ Nanjo, KF Tiampo… - Nonlinear Processes …, 2005 - npg.copernicus.org
No proven method is currently available for the reliable short time prediction of earthquakes
(minutes to months). However, it is possible to make probabilistic hazard assessments for …

A RELM earthquake forecast based on pattern informatics

JR Holliday, C Chen, KF Tiampo… - Seismological …, 2007 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
There have been a wide variety of approaches applied to forecasting earthquakes (Turcotte
1991; Kanamori 2003). These approaches can be divided into two general classes. The first …

Nowcasting earthquakes in Southern California with machine learning: Bursts, swarms, and aftershocks may be related to levels of regional tectonic stress

JB Rundle, A Donnellan - Earth and Space Science, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Seismic bursts in Southern California are sequences of small earthquakes strongly
clustered in space and time and include seismic swarms and aftershock sequences. A …

Space-time clustering and correlations of major earthquakes

JR Holliday, JB Rundle, DL Turcotte, W Klein… - Physical review …, 2006 - APS
Earthquake occurrence in nature is thought to result from correlated elastic stresses, leading
to clustering in space and time. We show that the occurrence of major earthquakes in …

Earthquake magnitude and frequency forecasting in northeastern algeria using time series analysis

M Merdasse, M Hamdache, JA Peláez, J Henares… - Applied Sciences, 2023 - mdpi.com
This study uses two different time series forecasting approaches (parametric and non-
parametric) to assess a frequency and magnitude forecasting of earthquakes above Mw 4.0 …