Forecasting zoonotic infectious disease response to climate change: mosquito vectors and a changing environment

AW Bartlow, C Manore, C Xu, KA Kaufeld… - Veterinary …, 2019 - mdpi.com
Infectious diseases are changing due to the environment and altered interactions among
hosts, reservoirs, vectors, and pathogens. This is particularly true for zoonotic diseases that …

The role of vector trait variation in vector-borne disease dynamics

LJ Cator, LR Johnson, EA Mordecai… - Frontiers in ecology …, 2020 - frontiersin.org
Many important endemic and emerging diseases are transmitted by vectors that are biting
arthropods. The functional traits of vectors can affect pathogen transmission rates directly …

Genomics and epidemiology of the P. 1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil

NR Faria, TA Mellan, C Whittaker, IM Claro… - Science, 2021 - science.org
Cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in
Manaus, Brazil, resurged in late 2020 despite previously high levels of infection. Genome …

[BOEK][B] Surrogates: Gaussian process modeling, design, and optimization for the applied sciences

RB Gramacy - 2020 - taylorfrancis.com
Computer simulation experiments are essential to modern scientific discovery, whether that
be in physics, chemistry, biology, epidemiology, ecology, engineering, etc. Surrogates are …

An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics

MA Johansson, KM Apfeldorf… - Proceedings of the …, 2019 - National Acad Sciences
A wide range of research has promised new tools for forecasting infectious disease
dynamics, but little of that research is currently being applied in practice, because tools do …

Understanding how temperature shifts could impact infectious disease

JR Rohr, JM Cohen - PLoS biology, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Climate change is expected to have complex effects on infectious diseases, causing some to
increase, others to decrease, and many to shift their distributions. There have been several …

Forecasting dengue epidemics using a hybrid methodology

T Chakraborty, S Chattopadhyay, I Ghosh - Physica A: Statistical Mechanics …, 2019 - Elsevier
Dengue case management is an alarmingly important global health issue. The effective
allocation of resources is often difficult due to external and internal factors imposing …

An ensemble neural network approach to forecast Dengue outbreak based on climatic condition

M Panja, T Chakraborty, SS Nadim, I Ghosh… - Chaos, Solitons & …, 2023 - Elsevier
Dengue fever is a virulent disease spreading over 100 tropical and subtropical countries in
Africa, the Americas, and Asia. This arboviral disease affects around 400 million people …

Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010–2014

SA Lauer, K Sakrejda, EL Ray… - Proceedings of the …, 2018 - National Acad Sciences
Dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF), a severe manifestation of dengue viral infection that can
cause severe bleeding, organ impairment, and even death, affects between 15,000 and …

Analyzing stochastic computer models: A review with opportunities

E Baker, P Barbillon, A Fadikar, RB Gramacy… - Statistical …, 2022 - projecteuclid.org
Analyzing Stochastic Computer Models: A Review with Opportunities Page 1 Statistical
Science 2022, Vol. 37, No. 1, 64–89 https://doi.org/10.1214/21-STS822 © Institute of …