The defining characteristics of ENSO extremes and the strong 2015/2016 El Niño

A Santoso, MJ Mcphaden, W Cai - Reviews of Geophysics, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
The year 2015 was special for climate scientists, particularly for the El Niño Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) research community, as a major El Niño finally materialized after a long …

Theory and practice of GVAR modelling

A Chudik, MH Pesaran - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful
approach to analyse interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks …

Long-term macroeconomic effects of climate change: A cross-country analysis

ME Kahn, K Mohaddes, RNC Ng, MH Pesaran… - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
We study the long-term impact of climate change on economic activity across countries,
using a stochastic growth model where productivity is affected by deviations of temperature …

Connectedness among El Niño-Southern Oscillation, carbon emission allowance, crude oil and renewable energy stock markets: Time-and frequency-domain …

Y Wei, J Zhang, L Bai, Y Wang - Renewable Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
Understanding the interactions among climate change, carbon emission allowance trading,
crude oil and renewable energy stock markets, especially the role of climate change in this …

Nonlinear El Niño impacts on the global economy under climate change

Y Liu, W Cai, X Lin, Z Li, Y Zhang - Nature Communications, 2023 - nature.com
Abstract The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a consequential climate phenomenon
affecting global extreme weather events often with largescale socioeconomic impacts. To …

Advances in weather prediction

RB Alley, KA Emanuel, F Zhang - Science, 2019 - science.org
Weather forecasting provides numerous societal benefits, from extreme weather warnings to
agricultural planning. In recent decades, advances in forecasting have been rapid, arising …

The effects of weather shocks on economic activity: what are the channels of impact?

S Acevedo, M Mrkaic, N Novta, E Pugacheva… - Journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Global temperatures have increased at a historically unprecedented pace. This paper finds
that the negative effect of temperature on output in countries with hot climates runs through …

Investigating interior driving factors and cross-industrial linkages of carbon emission efficiency in China's construction industry: Based on Super-SBM DEA and GVAR …

Y Zhou, W Liu, X Lv, X Chen, M Shen - Journal of Cleaner Production, 2019 - Elsevier
Global warming, resulted from greenhouse gases emission, has significant impacts on
natural ecosystem and economic development. Construction is a leading industry in China's …

A counterfactual economic analysis of Covid-19 using a threshold augmented multi-country model

A Chudik, K Mohaddes, MH Pesaran, M Raissi… - Journal of International …, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper develops a threshold-augmented dynamic multi-country model (TGVAR) to
quantify the macroeconomic effects of the Covid-19 pandemic. We show that there exist …

Energy markets and global economic conditions

C Baumeister, D Korobilis, TK Lee - Review of Economics and …, 2022 - direct.mit.edu
We evaluate alternative indicators of global economic activity and other market
fundamentals in terms of their usefulness for forecasting real oil prices and global petroleum …