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Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …
Energy forecasting: A review and outlook
Forecasting has been an essential part of the power and energy industry. Researchers and
practitioners have contributed thousands of papers on forecasting electricity demand and …
practitioners have contributed thousands of papers on forecasting electricity demand and …
A data-driven interval forecasting model for building energy prediction using attention-based LSTM and fuzzy information granulation
Y Li, Z Tong, S Tong, D Westerdahl - Sustainable Cities and Society, 2022 - Elsevier
Quantifying uncertainties in the prediction of building energy consumption is critical to
building energy management systems. In this study, a deep-learning-based interval …
building energy management systems. In this study, a deep-learning-based interval …
A review of predictive uncertainty estimation with machine learning
Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability
distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users …
distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users …
[HTML][HTML] The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions
This paper describes the M5 “Uncertainty” competition, the second of two parallel
challenges of the latest M competition, aiming to advance the theory and practice of …
challenges of the latest M competition, aiming to advance the theory and practice of …
Post-processing in solar forecasting: Ten overarching thinking tools
D Yang, D van der Meer - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2021 - Elsevier
Forecasts are always wrong, otherwise, they are merely deterministic calculations. Besides
leveraging advanced forecasting methods, post-processing has become a standard practice …
leveraging advanced forecasting methods, post-processing has become a standard practice …
A novel carbon price combination forecasting approach based on multi-source information fusion and hybrid multi-scale decomposition
P Wang, J Liu, Z Tao, H Chen - Engineering Applications of Artificial …, 2022 - Elsevier
Accurate carbon price forecasting is essential to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and slow
down global warming. However, a key issue in the carbon trading market is the diversity and …
down global warming. However, a key issue in the carbon trading market is the diversity and …
Forecasting hourly global horizontal solar irradiance in South Africa using machine learning models
Solar irradiance forecasting is essential in renewable energy grids amongst others for back-
up programming, operational planning, and short-term power purchases. This study focuses …
up programming, operational planning, and short-term power purchases. This study focuses …
Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States
JW Taylor, KS Taylor - European Journal of Operational Research, 2023 - Elsevier
The COVID-19 pandemic has placed forecasting models at the forefront of health policy
making. Predictions of mortality, cases and hospitalisations help governments meet …
making. Predictions of mortality, cases and hospitalisations help governments meet …
Improving the forecasting accuracy of interval-valued carbon price from a novel multi-scale framework with outliers detection: An improved interval-valued time series …
P Wang, Z Tao, J Liu, H Chen - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Accurate carbon price forecasting can provide policymakers with a reasonable basis for
carbon pricing. Interval-valued carbon price forecasting could provide sufficient information …
carbon pricing. Interval-valued carbon price forecasting could provide sufficient information …