Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review

X Wang, RJ Hyndman, F Li, Y Kang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
Forecast combinations have flourished remarkably in the forecasting community and, in
recent years, have become part of mainstream forecasting research and activities …

Energy forecasting: A review and outlook

T Hong, P Pinson, Y Wang, R Weron… - IEEE Open Access …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Forecasting has been an essential part of the power and energy industry. Researchers and
practitioners have contributed thousands of papers on forecasting electricity demand and …

A data-driven interval forecasting model for building energy prediction using attention-based LSTM and fuzzy information granulation

Y Li, Z Tong, S Tong, D Westerdahl - Sustainable Cities and Society, 2022 - Elsevier
Quantifying uncertainties in the prediction of building energy consumption is critical to
building energy management systems. In this study, a deep-learning-based interval …

A review of predictive uncertainty estimation with machine learning

H Tyralis, G Papacharalampous - Artificial Intelligence Review, 2024 - Springer
Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability
distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users …

[HTML][HTML] The M5 uncertainty competition: Results, findings and conclusions

S Makridakis, E Spiliotis, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper describes the M5 “Uncertainty” competition, the second of two parallel
challenges of the latest M competition, aiming to advance the theory and practice of …

Post-processing in solar forecasting: Ten overarching thinking tools

D Yang, D van der Meer - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2021 - Elsevier
Forecasts are always wrong, otherwise, they are merely deterministic calculations. Besides
leveraging advanced forecasting methods, post-processing has become a standard practice …

A novel carbon price combination forecasting approach based on multi-source information fusion and hybrid multi-scale decomposition

P Wang, J Liu, Z Tao, H Chen - Engineering Applications of Artificial …, 2022 - Elsevier
Accurate carbon price forecasting is essential to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and slow
down global warming. However, a key issue in the carbon trading market is the diversity and …

Forecasting hourly global horizontal solar irradiance in South Africa using machine learning models

T Mutavhatsindi, C Sigauke, R Mbuvha - IEEE Access, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Solar irradiance forecasting is essential in renewable energy grids amongst others for back-
up programming, operational planning, and short-term power purchases. This study focuses …

Combining probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States

JW Taylor, KS Taylor - European Journal of Operational Research, 2023 - Elsevier
The COVID-19 pandemic has placed forecasting models at the forefront of health policy
making. Predictions of mortality, cases and hospitalisations help governments meet …

Improving the forecasting accuracy of interval-valued carbon price from a novel multi-scale framework with outliers detection: An improved interval-valued time series …

P Wang, Z Tao, J Liu, H Chen - Energy Economics, 2023 - Elsevier
Accurate carbon price forecasting can provide policymakers with a reasonable basis for
carbon pricing. Interval-valued carbon price forecasting could provide sufficient information …