Thermal refugia underpin climate-smart management of coral reefs, but whether current
thermal refugia will remain so under future warming is uncertain. We use statistical …

Wallacea—the meeting point between the Asian and Australian fauna—is one of the world's
largest centers of endemism. Twenty-three million years of complex geological history have …

The persistence of diverse yet threatened ecosystems like coral reefs will require urgent
action underpinned by effective assessments of resilience. Resilience potential …

A brief historical narrative of coral responses to climate change exposures is followed by a
review of evidence. I trace the history of investigations and summarize the findings from 112 …

Escalating climatic and anthropogenic pressures expose ecosystems worldwide to
increasingly stochastic environments. Yet, our ability to forecast the responses of natural …

Tropical cyclones generate large waves that physically damage coral communities and are
commonly cited as a worsening threat to coral reefs under climate change. However …

Aim Climate change is affecting the geographic distributions of many species and
researchers are increasingly relying on species distribution models (SDMs) to forecast …

Anthropogenic impacts are typically detrimental to tropical coral reefs, but the effect of
increasing environmental stress and variability on the size structure of coral communities …

Climate change has become the greatest threat to the world's ecosystems. Locating and
managing areas that contribute to the survival of key species under climate change is critical …

Coral reefs are likely to be exposed to more intense cyclones under climate change.
Cyclone impacts are spatially highly variable given complex hydrodynamics, and coral …