A gentle introduction to conformal prediction and distribution-free uncertainty quantification
Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like
medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model …
medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model …
Image-to-image regression with distribution-free uncertainty quantification and applications in imaging
Image-to-image regression is an important learning task, used frequently in biological
imaging. Current algorithms, however, do not generally offer statistical guarantees that …
imaging. Current algorithms, however, do not generally offer statistical guarantees that …
Conformal prediction: A gentle introduction
Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like
medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model …
medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model …
Sample-efficient safety assurances using conformal prediction
When deploying machine learning models in high-stakes robotics applications, the ability to
detect unsafe situations is crucial. Early warning systems can provide alerts when an unsafe …
detect unsafe situations is crucial. Early warning systems can provide alerts when an unsafe …
Equal opportunity of coverage in fair regression
We study fair machine learning (ML) under predictive uncertainty to enable reliable and
trustworthy decision-making. The seminal work of'equalized coverage'proposed an …
trustworthy decision-making. The seminal work of'equalized coverage'proposed an …
A large-scale study of probabilistic calibration in neural network regression
Accurate probabilistic predictions are essential for optimal decision making. While neural
network miscalibration has been studied primarily in classification, we investigate this in the …
network miscalibration has been studied primarily in classification, we investigate this in the …
Length optimization in conformal prediction
Conditional validity and length efficiency are two crucial aspects of conformal prediction
(CP). Achieving conditional validity ensures accurate uncertainty quantification for data …
(CP). Achieving conditional validity ensures accurate uncertainty quantification for data …
Selective conformal inference with false coverage-statement rate control
Conformal inference is a popular tool for constructing prediction intervals. We consider here
the scenario of post-selection/selective conformal inference, that is, prediction intervals are …
the scenario of post-selection/selective conformal inference, that is, prediction intervals are …
Achieving risk control in online learning settings
To provide rigorous uncertainty quantification for online learning models, we develop a
framework for constructing uncertainty sets that provably control risk--such as coverage of …
framework for constructing uncertainty sets that provably control risk--such as coverage of …
Online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes
We introduce a method for online conformal prediction with decaying step sizes. Like
previous methods, ours possesses a retrospective guarantee of coverage for arbitrary …
previous methods, ours possesses a retrospective guarantee of coverage for arbitrary …