[图书][B] Bayesian filtering and smoothing

S Särkkä, L Svensson - 2023 - books.google.com
Now in its second edition, this accessible text presents a unified Bayesian treatment of state-
of-the-art filtering, smoothing, and parameter estimation algorithms for non-linear state …

Bayesian probabilistic numerical methods

J Cockayne, CJ Oates, TJ Sullivan, M Girolami - SIAM review, 2019 - SIAM
Over forty years ago average-case error was proposed in the applied mathematics literature
as an alternative criterion with which to assess numerical methods. In contrast to worst-case …

A modern retrospective on probabilistic numerics

CJ Oates, TJ Sullivan - Statistics and computing, 2019 - Springer
This article attempts to place the emergence of probabilistic numerics as a mathematical–
statistical research field within its historical context and to explore how its gradual …

Kernel thinning

R Dwivedi, L Mackey - Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2024 - jmlr.org
We introduce kernel thinning, a new procedure for compressing a distribution $\mathbb {P} $
more effectively than iid sampling or standard thinning. Given a suitable reproducing kernel …

Adaptive experiment design for probabilistic integration

P Wei, X Zhang, M Beer - Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and …, 2020 - Elsevier
Probabilistic integration is a Bayesian inference technique for numerical integration, and has
received much attention in the community of scientific and engineering computations. The …

Optimally-weighted estimators of the maximum mean discrepancy for likelihood-free inference

A Bharti, M Naslidnyk, O Key… - … on Machine Learning, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Likelihood-free inference methods typically make use of a distance between simulated and
real data. A common example is the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), which has …

Maximum likelihood estimation and uncertainty quantification for Gaussian process approximation of deterministic functions

T Karvonen, G Wynne, F Tronarp, C Oates… - SIAM/ASA Journal on …, 2020 - SIAM
Despite the ubiquity of the Gaussian process regression model, few theoretical results are
available that account for the fact that parameters of the covariance kernel typically need to …

Stein -Importance Sampling

C Wang, Y Chen, H Kanagawa… - Advances in Neural …, 2023 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Stein discrepancies have emerged as a powerful tool for retrospective improvement of
Markov chain Monte Carlo output. However, the question of how to design Markov chains …

Parallel Gaussian process surrogate Bayesian inference with noisy likelihood evaluations

M Järvenpää, MU Gutmann, A Vehtari, P Marttinen - 2021 - projecteuclid.org
Parallel Gaussian Process Surrogate Bayesian Inference with Noisy Likelihood Evaluations
Page 1 Bayesian Analysis (2021) 16, Number 1, pp. 147–178 Parallel Gaussian Process …

Positively weighted kernel quadrature via subsampling

S Hayakawa, H Oberhauser… - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
We study kernel quadrature rules with convex weights. Our approach combines the spectral
properties of the kernel with recombination results about point measures. This results in …