Marine heatwaves
Ocean temperature variability is a fundamental component of the Earth's climate system, and
extremes in this variability affect the health of marine ecosystems around the world. The …
extremes in this variability affect the health of marine ecosystems around the world. The …
Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
A global transition to flash droughts under climate change
Flash droughts have occurred frequently worldwide, with a rapid onset that challenges
drought monitoring and forecasting capabilities. However, there is no consensus on whether …
drought monitoring and forecasting capabilities. However, there is no consensus on whether …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate
Caption: Table A. 11. 2. Synthesis table summarising assessments presented in Tables 11.4-
11.21 for hot extremes (HOT EXT.), heavy precipitation (HEAVY PRECIP.), agriculture and …
11.21 for hot extremes (HOT EXT.), heavy precipitation (HEAVY PRECIP.), agriculture and …
Increasing probability of record-shattering climate extremes
Recent climate extremes have broken long-standing records by large margins. Such
extremes unprecedented in the observational period often have substantial impacts due to a …
extremes unprecedented in the observational period often have substantial impacts due to a …
Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events
Compound hot–dry events—co-occurring hot and dry extremes—frequently cause damages
to human and natural systems, often exceeding separate impacts from heatwaves and …
to human and natural systems, often exceeding separate impacts from heatwaves and …
Constraining the atmospheric limb of the plastic cycle
Plastic pollution is one of the most pressing environmental and social issues of the 21st
century. Recent work has highlighted the atmosphere's role in transporting microplastics to …
century. Recent work has highlighted the atmosphere's role in transporting microplastics to …
Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century
Ocean-driven melting of floating ice-shelves in the Amundsen Sea is currently the main
process controlling Antarctica's contribution to sea-level rise. Using a regional ocean model …
process controlling Antarctica's contribution to sea-level rise. Using a regional ocean model …
Climate change is increasing the risk of a California megaflood
Despite the recent prevalence of severe drought, California faces a broadly
underappreciated risk of severe floods. Here, we investigate the physical characteristics of …
underappreciated risk of severe floods. Here, we investigate the physical characteristics of …