Statistical inference for stochastic differential equations

P Craigmile, R Herbei, G Liu… - Wiley Interdisciplinary …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Many scientific fields have experienced growth in the use of stochastic differential equations
(SDEs), also known as diffusion processes, to model scientific phenomena over time. SDEs …

On the exact and -strong simulation of (jump) diffusions

M Pollock, AM Johansen, GO Roberts - 2016 - projecteuclid.org
This paper introduces a framework for simulating finite dimensional representations of
(jump) diffusion sample paths over finite intervals, without discretisation error (exactly), in …

Exact Monte Carlo likelihood-based inference for jump-diffusion processes

FB Gonçalves, K Łatuszyński… - Journal of the Royal …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Statistical inference for discretely observed jump-diffusion processes is a complex problem
which motivates new methodological challenges. Thus, existing approaches invariably …

Exact Bayesian inference in spatiotemporal Cox processes driven by multivariate Gaussian processes

FB Gonçalves, D Gamerman - Journal of the Royal Statistical …, 2018 - academic.oup.com
We present a novel inference methodology to perform Bayesian inference for spatiotemporal
Cox processes where the intensity function depends on a multivariate Gaussian process …

Efficient Bernoulli factory Markov chain Monte Carlo for intractable posteriors

D Vats, FB Gonçalves, K Łatuszyński, GO Roberts - Biometrika, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Accept-reject-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms have traditionally utilized
acceptance probabilities that can be explicitly written as a function of the ratio of the target …

Using maximum cross section method for filtering jump-diffusion random processes

TA Averina, KA Rybakov - Russian Journal of Numerical Analysis …, 2020 - degruyter.com
The paper is focused on problem of filtering random processes in dynamical systems whose
mathematical models are described by stochastic differential equations with a Poisson …

Markov chain Monte Carlo for exact inference for diffusions

G Sermaidis, O Papaspiliopoulos… - … Journal of Statistics, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely sampled, directly and
indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification 'exact'refers to the fact that the invariant and …

Online smoothing for diffusion processes observed with noise

S Yonekura, A Beskos - Journal of Computational and Graphical …, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
We introduce a methodology for online estimation of smoothing expectations for a class of
additive functionals, in the context of a rich family of diffusion processes (that may include …

Numerical solution of jump-diffusion SDEs

K Giesecke, A Shkolnik, G Teng… - Available at SSRN …, 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper formulates and analyzes a discretization scheme for a jump-diffusion process
with general state-dependent drift, volatility, jump intensity, and jump size. The jump times of …

Multiscale stochastic optimization: modeling aspects and scenario generation

M Glanzer, GC Pflug - Computational Optimization and Applications, 2020 - Springer
Real-world multistage stochastic optimization problems are often characterized by the fact
that the decision maker may take actions only at specific points in time, even if relevant data …