Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes

S Feuerriegel, D Frauen, V Melnychuk, J Schweisthal… - Nature Medicine, 2024 - nature.com
Causal machine learning (ML) offers flexible, data-driven methods for predicting treatment
outcomes including efficacy and toxicity, thereby supporting the assessment and safety of …

Quantifying the robustness of causal inferences: Sensitivity analysis for pragmatic social science

KA Frank, Q Lin, R Xu, S Maroulis, A Mueller - Social Science Research, 2023 - Elsevier
Social scientists seeking to inform policy or public action must carefully consider how to
identify effects and express inferences because actions based on invalid inferences may not …

Assessing algorithmic fairness with unobserved protected class using data combination

N Kallus, X Mao, A Zhou - Management Science, 2022 - pubsonline.informs.org
The increasing impact of algorithmic decisions on people's lives compels us to scrutinize
their fairness and, in particular, the disparate impacts that ostensibly color-blind algorithms …

Generalization bounds and representation learning for estimation of potential outcomes and causal effects

FD Johansson, U Shalit, N Kallus, D Sontag - Journal of Machine Learning …, 2022 - jmlr.org
Practitioners in diverse fields such as healthcare, economics and education are eager to
apply machine learning to improve decision making. The cost and impracticality of …

Identifying prediction mistakes in observational data

A Rambachan - The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Decision makers, such as doctors, judges, and managers, make consequential choices
based on predictions of unknown outcomes. Do these decision makers make systematic …

B-learner: Quasi-oracle bounds on heterogeneous causal effects under hidden confounding

M Oprescu, J Dorn, M Ghoummaid… - International …, 2023 - proceedings.mlr.press
Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data is a crucial task across
many fields, hel** policy and decision-makers take better actions. There has been recent …

Sharp bounds for generalized causal sensitivity analysis

D Frauen, V Melnychuk… - Advances in Neural …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Causal inference from observational data is crucial for many disciplines such as medicine
and economics. However, sharp bounds for causal effects under relaxations of the …

Quantifying ignorance in individual-level causal-effect estimates under hidden confounding

A Jesson, S Mindermann, Y Gal… - … on Machine Learning, 2021 - proceedings.mlr.press
We study the problem of learning conditional average treatment effects (CATE) from high-
dimensional, observational data with unobserved confounders. Unobserved confounders …

What's the harm? sharp bounds on the fraction negatively affected by treatment

N Kallus - Advances in Neural Information Processing …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
The fundamental problem of causal inference--that we never observe counterfactuals--
prevents us from identifying how many might be negatively affected by a proposed …

Conformal sensitivity analysis for individual treatment effects

M Yin, C Shi, Y Wang, DM Blei - Journal of the American Statistical …, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
Estimating an individual treatment effect (ITE) is essential to personalized decision making.
However, existing methods for estimating the ITE often rely on unconfoundedness, an …