Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading

JS Risbey, DT Squire, AS Black, T DelSole… - Nature …, 2021 - nature.com
Assessments of climate forecast skill depend on choices made by the assessor. In this
perspective, we use forecasts of the El Niño-Southern-Oscillation to outline the impact of …

Monthly streamflow forecasting by machine learning methods using dynamic weather prediction model outputs over Iran

M Akbarian, B Saghafian, S Golian - Journal of Hydrology, 2023 - Elsevier
Seasonal hydrological forecasts play a critical role in water resources management. The
Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) data store provides open access to monthly …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: Relevant case studies across the globe

DIV Domeisen, CJ White… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Extreme weather events have devastating impacts on human health, economic activities,
ecosystems, and infrastructure. It is therefore crucial to anticipate extremes and their impacts …

Predicting september arctic sea ice: A multimodel seasonal skill comparison

M Bushuk, S Ali, DA Bailey, Q Bao… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study quantifies the state of the art in the rapidly growing field of seasonal Arctic sea ice
prediction. A novel multimodel dataset of retrospective seasonal predictions of September …

What are the key drivers controlling the quality of seasonal streamflow forecasts?

IG Pechlivanidis, L Crochemore… - Water Resources …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Recent technological advances in representation of processes in numerical climate models
have led to skillful predictions, which can consequently increase the confidence of …

[HTML][HTML] An occupational heat–health warning system for Europe: the HEAT-SHIELD platform

M Morabito, A Messeri, P Noti, A Casanueva… - International journal of …, 2019 - mdpi.com
Existing heat–health warning systems focus on warning vulnerable groups in order to
reduce mortality. However, human health and performance are affected at much lower …

Seasonal prediction and predictability of regional Antarctic sea ice

M Bushuk, M Winton, FA Haumann… - Journal of …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Compared to the Arctic, seasonal predictions of Antarctic sea ice have received relatively
little attention. In this work, we utilize three coupled dynamical prediction systems developed …

[HTML][HTML] Width of surface rupture zone for thrust earthquakes: implications for earthquake fault zoning

P Boncio, F Liberi, M Caldarella… - Natural Hazards and …, 2018 - nhess.copernicus.org
The criteria for zoning the surface fault rupture hazard (SFRH) along thrust faults are defined
by analysing the characteristics of the areas of coseismic surface faulting in thrust …