Sudden stratospheric warmings and anomalous upward wave activity flux
Abrupt breakdowns of the polar winter stratospheric circulation such as sudden stratospheric
warmings (SSWs) are a manifestation of strong two-way interactions between upward …
warmings (SSWs) are a manifestation of strong two-way interactions between upward …
[HTML][HTML] Path properties of atmospheric transitions: Illustration with a low-order sudden stratospheric warming model
Path Properties of Atmospheric Transitions: Illustration with a Low-Order Sudden
Stratospheric Warming Model in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Volume 77 Issue 7 (2020) …
Stratospheric Warming Model in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Volume 77 Issue 7 (2020) …
Dynamics and predictability of downward-propagating stratospheric planetary waves observed in March 2007
H Mukougawa, S Noguchi, Y Kuroda… - Journal of the …, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
The predictability of a downward-propagating event of stratospheric planetary waves
observed in early March 2007 is examined by conducting ensemble forecasts using an …
observed in early March 2007 is examined by conducting ensemble forecasts using an …
Predictability changes of stratospheric circulations in Northern Hemisphere winter
T Ichimaru, S Noguchi, T Hirooka… - Journal of the …, 2016 - jstage.jst.go.jp
Practical predictability of the stratospheric circulation in the boreal winters during the period
2001–2006 has been examined using the archive of 1-month ensemble forecast datasets …
2001–2006 has been examined using the archive of 1-month ensemble forecast datasets …
Topological computation analysis of meteorological time-series data
H Morita, M Inatsu, H Kokubu - Siam Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, 2019 - SIAM
A topological computation method (called the Morse graph method for stochastic time-series
date, or the MGSTD method) is applied to noisy time-series data obtained from …
date, or the MGSTD method) is applied to noisy time-series data obtained from …
Prediction Skill and Practical Predictability Depending on the Initial Atmospheric States in S2S Forecasts
The hypothesis that predictability depends on the atmospheric state in the planetary-scale
low-frequency variability in boreal winter was examined. We first computed six typical …
low-frequency variability in boreal winter was examined. We first computed six typical …
Atmospheric Extremes through the Lens of Transition Path Theory
J Finkel - 2022 - search.proquest.com
Extreme weather events have large consequences, dominating the impact of climate on
society, but are very difficult to characterize and predict, being exceptionally rare and …
society, but are very difficult to characterize and predict, being exceptionally rare and …
On the asymmetry of forecast errors in the Northern winter stratosphere between vortex weakening and strengthening conditions
M Taguchi - Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II, 2015 - jstage.jst.go.jp
This study investigates the asymmetry of forecast errors in the Northern winter stratosphere
between vortex weakening and strengthening conditions. Previous studies suggest that the …
between vortex weakening and strengthening conditions. Previous studies suggest that the …
Time-series analysis and predictability estimates by empirical SDE modelling
The empirical evaluating formulae of the stochastic differential equation (SDE) are
considered in this study, in order to reconstruct the information of the dynamics by the use of …
considered in this study, in order to reconstruct the information of the dynamics by the use of …
Empirical evaluated SDE modelling for dimensionality-reduced systems and its predictability estimates
This paper develops and validates a method of empirical modelling for a dimensionality-
reduced system of a nonlinear dynamical system based on the framework of the stochastic …
reduced system of a nonlinear dynamical system based on the framework of the stochastic …