Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability

PI Palmer, CM Wainwright, B Dong… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Eastern Africa exhibits bimodal rainfall consisting of long rains (March–May) and short rains
(October–December), changes in which have profound socioeconomic and environmental …

Advances in understanding large‐scale responses of the water cycle to climate change

RP Allan, M Barlow, MP Byrne… - Annals of the New …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Globally, thermodynamics explains an increase in atmospheric water vapor with warming of
around 7%/° C near to the surface. In contrast, global precipitation and evaporation are …

Weather and climate extreme events in a changing climate

SI Seneviratne, X Zhang, M Adnan, W Badi… - 2021 - centaur.reading.ac.uk
Caption: Table A. 11. 2. Synthesis table summarising assessments presented in Tables 11.4-
11.21 for hot extremes (HOT EXT.), heavy precipitation (HEAVY PRECIP.), agriculture and …

Zonally contrasting shifts of the tropical rain belt in response to climate change

A Mamalakis, JT Randerson, JY Yu, MS Pritchard… - Nature climate …, 2021 - nature.com
Future changes in the position of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ; a narrow band of
heavy precipitation in the tropics) with climate change could affect the livelihood and food …

Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change

CM Wainwright, DL Finney, M Kilavi, E Black… - …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Figure 2. Timeseries of Dipole Mode Index (a, b) and SST anomaly (c), air temperature
anomaly (d), precipitation anomaly (e) and 850hPa wind anomaly (f) for OND 2019. In (f) the …

Wetting and drying trends under climate change

BF Zaitchik, M Rodell, M Biasutti, SI Seneviratne - Nature Water, 2023 - nature.com
The geography and timing of changes in water availability under climate change are of
considerable societal interest. Characterizing these changes in a robust and meaningful …

Enhanced future changes in wet and dry extremes over Africa at convection-permitting scale

EJ Kendon, RA Stratton, S Tucker, JH Marsham… - Nature …, 2019 - nature.com
African society is particularly vulnerable to climate change. The representation of convection
in climate models has so far restricted our ability to accurately simulate African weather …

Extreme climate events in sub-Saharan Africa: A call for improving agricultural technology transfer to enhance adaptive capacity

A Ayanlade, A Oluwaranti, OS Ayanlade, M Borderon… - Climate Services, 2022 - Elsevier
This study seeks to provide a critical overview of the existing evidence on extreme climate
events and the adaptation options of the affected population in order to help scholars …

'Eastern African Paradox'rainfall decline due to shorter not less intense Long Rains

CM Wainwright, JH Marsham, RJ Keane… - npj Climate and …, 2019 - nature.com
An observed decline in the Eastern African Long Rains from the 1980s to late 2000s
appears contrary to the projected increase under future climate change. This “Eastern …

Hydrological intensification will increase the complexity of water resource management

DL Ficklin, SE Null, JT Abatzoglou, KA Novick… - Earth's …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Global warming intensifies the hydrological cycle by altering the rate of water fluxes to and
from the terrestrial surface, resulting in an increase in extreme precipitation events and …