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Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …
Rising water temperature in rivers: Ecological impacts and future resilience
Rising water temperatures in rivers due to climate change are already having observable
impacts on river ecosystems. Warming water has both direct and indirect impacts on aquatic …
impacts on river ecosystems. Warming water has both direct and indirect impacts on aquatic …
Quantifying the human cost of global warming
The costs of climate change are often estimated in monetary terms, but this raises ethical
issues. Here we express them in terms of numbers of people left outside the 'human climate …
issues. Here we express them in terms of numbers of people left outside the 'human climate …
Future temperature extremes threaten land vertebrates
The frequency, duration, and intensity of extreme thermal events are increasing and are
projected to further increase by the end of the century,. Despite the considerable …
projected to further increase by the end of the century,. Despite the considerable …
The evolution of critical thermal limits of life on Earth
Understanding how species' thermal limits have evolved across the tree of life is central to
predicting species' responses to climate change. Here, using experimentally-derived …
predicting species' responses to climate change. Here, using experimentally-derived …
Thermal bottlenecks in the life cycle define climate vulnerability of fish
Species' vulnerability to climate change depends on the most temperature-sensitive life
stages, but for major animal groups such as fish, life cycle bottlenecks are often not clearly …
stages, but for major animal groups such as fish, life cycle bottlenecks are often not clearly …
A 485-million-year history of Earth's surface temperature
A long-term record of global mean surface temperature (GMST) provides critical insight into
the dynamical limits of Earth's climate and the complex feedbacks between temperature and …
the dynamical limits of Earth's climate and the complex feedbacks between temperature and …
A climate risk index for marine life
Climate change is impacting virtually all marine life. Adaptation strategies will require a
robust understanding of the risks to species and ecosystems and how those propagate to …
robust understanding of the risks to species and ecosystems and how those propagate to …
Coextinctions dominate future vertebrate losses from climate and land use change
Although theory identifies coextinctions as a main driver of biodiversity loss, their role at the
planetary scale has yet to be estimated. We subjected a global model of interconnected …
planetary scale has yet to be estimated. We subjected a global model of interconnected …
Warming underpins community turnover in temperate freshwater and terrestrial communities
Rising temperatures are leading to increased prevalence of warm-affinity species in
ecosystems, known as thermophilisation. However, factors influencing variation in …
ecosystems, known as thermophilisation. However, factors influencing variation in …