[HTML][HTML] Thirty years on: A review of the Lee–Carter method for forecasting mortality

U Basellini, CG Camarda, H Booth - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
The introduction of the Lee–Carter (LC) method marked a breakthrough in mortality
forecasting, providing a simple yet powerful data-driven stochastic approach. The method …

The new life market

D Blake, A Cairns, G Coughlan, K Dowd… - Journal of Risk and …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
The huge economic significance of longevity risk for corporations, governments, and
individuals has begun to be recognized and quantified. By virtue of its size and prevalence …

A quantitative comparison of stochastic mortality models using data from England and Wales and the United States

AJG Cairns, D Blake, K Dowd… - North American …, 2009 - Taylor & Francis
We compare quantitatively eight stochastic models explaining improvements in mortality
rates in England and Wales and in the United States. On the basis of the Bayes Information …

On stochastic mortality modeling

R Plat - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2009 - Elsevier
In the last decennium a vast literature on stochastic mortality models has been developed.
All well-known models have nice features but also disadvantages. In this paper a stochastic …

Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models

AJG Cairns, D Blake, K Dowd, GD Coughlan… - Insurance: Mathematics …, 2011 - Elsevier
This paper develops a framework for develo** forecasts of future mortality rates. We
discuss the suitability of six stochastic mortality models for forecasting future mortality and …

Measuring basis risk in longevity hedges

JSH Li, MR Hardy - North American Actuarial Journal, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
In examining basis risk in index longevity hedges, it is important not to ignore the
dependence between the population underlying the hedging instrument and the population …

Bayesian stochastic mortality modelling for two populations

AJG Cairns, D Blake, K Dowd, GD Coughlan… - ASTIN Bulletin: The …, 2011 - cambridge.org
This paper introduces a new framework for modelling the joint development over time of
mortality rates in a pair of related populations with the primary aim of producing consistent …

Analytical study on foreign direct investment divestment inflows and outflows in develo** economies: evidence of China

M Zreik - The Chinese Economy, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Multilateral organizations are taking attention toward foreign divestment; they are in practice
to shift toward a large number of host countries from their home countries. In this paper, the …

Addressing the life expectancy gap in pension policy

JM Bravo, M Ayuso, R Holzmann, E Palmer - Insurance: Mathematics and …, 2021 - Elsevier
Understanding the systematic relationship between period and cohort life expectancy and
how the relationship evolves over time are critical issues in formulating the design of …

A neural-network analyzer for mortality forecast

D Hainaut - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 2018 - cambridge.org
This article proposes a neural-network approach to predict and simulate human mortality
rates. This semi-parametric model is capable to detect and duplicate non-linearities …