The risks of climate change are enormous, threatening the lives and livelihoods of millions to
billions of people. The economic consequences of many of the complex risks associated …

Irrigation accounts for~ 70% of global freshwater withdrawals and~ 90% of consumptive
water use, driving myriad Earth system impacts. In this Review, we summarize how irrigation …

Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling.
The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for …

Sensitivity analysis is defined as 'the study of how the uncertainty in the output of a model
(numerical or otherwise) can be apportioned to different sources of uncertainty in the model …

Epidemic forecasting has a dubious track-record, and its failures became more prominent
with COVID-19. Poor data input, wrong modeling assumptions, high sensitivity of estimates …

River flood risk in Europe could rise to unprecedented levels due to global warming and
continued development in flood-prone areas. Here, we appraise the potential of four key …

Choices made in modeling matter and demand more explication since they determine how
much we can trust modeling insights and predictions within their social, political and ethical …

Highlights•A focus on sociotechnical imaginaries (STI) illuminates crucial governance issues
in transformations to sustainability.•The STI concept helps to uncover the dimensionality and …

Mathematical models are getting increasingly detailed to better predict phenomena or gain
more accurate insights into the dynamics of a system of interest, even when there are no …

Miscalculating the volumes of water withdrawn for irrigation, the largest consumer of
freshwater in the world, jeopardizes sustainable water management. Hydrological models …