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Irrigation in the Earth system
Irrigation accounts for~ 70% of global freshwater withdrawals and~ 90% of consumptive
water use, driving myriad Earth system impacts. In this Review, we summarize how irrigation …
water use, driving myriad Earth system impacts. In this Review, we summarize how irrigation …
The missing risks of climate change
The risks of climate change are enormous, threatening the lives and livelihoods of millions to
billions of people. The economic consequences of many of the complex risks associated …
billions of people. The economic consequences of many of the complex risks associated …
Challenges and recommendations for wearable devices in digital health: Data quality, interoperability, health equity, fairness
Wearable devices are increasingly present in the health context, as tools for biomedical
research and clinical care. In this context, wearables are considered key tools for a more …
research and clinical care. In this context, wearables are considered key tools for a more …
Cost-effective adaptation strategies to rising river flood risk in Europe
River flood risk in Europe could rise to unprecedented levels due to global warming and
continued development in flood-prone areas. Here, we appraise the potential of four key …
continued development in flood-prone areas. Here, we appraise the potential of four key …
[HTML][HTML] The future of sensitivity analysis: an essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support
Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling.
The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for …
The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for …
Forecasting for COVID-19 has failed
Epidemic forecasting has a dubious track-record, and its failures became more prominent
with COVID-19. Poor data input, wrong modeling assumptions, high sensitivity of estimates …
with COVID-19. Poor data input, wrong modeling assumptions, high sensitivity of estimates …
[PDF][PDF] Decision-making options for managing risk
Addressing the impacts and risks associated with observed and projected climate change
(Chapter 16) is fundamentally and intricately tied to the decision-making options available to …
(Chapter 16) is fundamentally and intricately tied to the decision-making options available to …
[HTML][HTML] The governance of sociotechnical transformations to sustainability
Highlights•A focus on sociotechnical imaginaries (STI) illuminates crucial governance issues
in transformations to sustainability.•The STI concept helps to uncover the dimensionality and …
in transformations to sustainability.•The STI concept helps to uncover the dimensionality and …
Towards normalizing good practice across the whole modeling cycle: its instrumentation and future research topics
Choices made in modeling matter and demand more explication since they determine how
much we can trust modeling insights and predictions within their social, political and ethical …
much we can trust modeling insights and predictions within their social, political and ethical …
Models with higher effective dimensions tend to produce more uncertain estimates
Mathematical models are getting increasingly detailed to better predict phenomena or gain
more accurate insights into the dynamics of a system of interest, even when there are no …
more accurate insights into the dynamics of a system of interest, even when there are no …