Irrigation in the Earth system

S McDermid, M Nocco, P Lawston-Parker… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Irrigation accounts for~ 70% of global freshwater withdrawals and~ 90% of consumptive
water use, driving myriad Earth system impacts. In this Review, we summarize how irrigation …

The missing risks of climate change

J Rising, M Tedesco, F Piontek, DA Stainforth - Nature, 2022 - nature.com
The risks of climate change are enormous, threatening the lives and livelihoods of millions to
billions of people. The economic consequences of many of the complex risks associated …

Challenges and recommendations for wearable devices in digital health: Data quality, interoperability, health equity, fairness

S Canali, V Schiaffonati, A Aliverti - PLOS Digital Health, 2022 - journals.plos.org
Wearable devices are increasingly present in the health context, as tools for biomedical
research and clinical care. In this context, wearables are considered key tools for a more …

Cost-effective adaptation strategies to rising river flood risk in Europe

F Dottori, L Mentaschi, A Bianchi, L Alfieri… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
River flood risk in Europe could rise to unprecedented levels due to global warming and
continued development in flood-prone areas. Here, we appraise the potential of four key …

[HTML][HTML] The future of sensitivity analysis: an essential discipline for systems modeling and policy support

S Razavi, A Jakeman, A Saltelli, C Prieur… - … Modelling & Software, 2021 - Elsevier
Sensitivity analysis (SA) is en route to becoming an integral part of mathematical modeling.
The tremendous potential benefits of SA are, however, yet to be fully realized, both for …

Forecasting for COVID-19 has failed

JPA Ioannidis, S Cripps, MA Tanner - International journal of forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
Epidemic forecasting has a dubious track-record, and its failures became more prominent
with COVID-19. Poor data input, wrong modeling assumptions, high sensitivity of estimates …

[PDF][PDF] Decision-making options for managing risk

M New, D Reckien, D Viner, C Adler… - … of Working Group II …, 2022 - research.utwente.nl
Addressing the impacts and risks associated with observed and projected climate change
(Chapter 16) is fundamentally and intricately tied to the decision-making options available to …

[HTML][HTML] The governance of sociotechnical transformations to sustainability

S Beck, S Jasanoff, A Stirling, C Polzin - Current Opinion in Environmental …, 2021 - Elsevier
Highlights•A focus on sociotechnical imaginaries (STI) illuminates crucial governance issues
in transformations to sustainability.•The STI concept helps to uncover the dimensionality and …

Towards normalizing good practice across the whole modeling cycle: its instrumentation and future research topics

AJ Jakeman, S Elsawah, HH Wang… - Socio-Environmental …, 2024 - sesmo.org
Choices made in modeling matter and demand more explication since they determine how
much we can trust modeling insights and predictions within their social, political and ethical …

Models with higher effective dimensions tend to produce more uncertain estimates

A Puy, P Beneventano, SA Levin, S Lo Piano… - Science …, 2022 - science.org
Mathematical models are getting increasingly detailed to better predict phenomena or gain
more accurate insights into the dynamics of a system of interest, even when there are no …