Modelling transmission and control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia

SL Chang, N Harding, C Zachreson, OM Cliff… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
There is a continuing debate on relative benefits of various mitigation and suppression
strategies aimed to control the spread of COVID-19. Here we report the results of agent …

Impact of network assortativity on epidemic and vaccination behaviour

SL Chang, M Piraveenan, M Prokopenko - Chaos, solitons & fractals, 2020 - Elsevier
The resurgence of measles is largely attributed to the decline in vaccine adoption and the
increase in mobility. Although the vaccine for measles is readily available and highly …

COVID-19: A comparative study of population aggregation patterns in the central urban area of Tian**, China

P Zeng, Z Sun, Y Chen, Z Qiao, L Cai - International Journal of …, 2021 - mdpi.com
When a public health emergency occurs, a potential sanitation threat will directly change
local residents' behavior patterns, especially in high-density urban areas. Their behavior …

A maximum entropy model of bounded rational decision-making with prior beliefs and market feedback

BP Evans, M Prokopenko - Entropy, 2021 - mdpi.com
Bounded rationality is an important consideration stemming from the fact that agents often
have limits on their processing abilities, making the assumption of perfect rationality …

Beyond COVID-19: network science and sustainable exit strategies

J Bell, G Bianconi, D Butler, J Crowcroft… - Journal of Physics …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
On May 28th and 29th, a two day workshop was held virtually, facilitated by the Beyond
Center at ASU and Moogsoft Inc. The aim was to bring together leading scientists with an …

Phase transitions in spatial connectivity during influenza pandemics

N Harding, R Spinney, M Prokopenko - Entropy, 2020 - mdpi.com
We investigated phase transitions in spatial connectivity during influenza pandemics,
relating epidemic thresholds to the formation of clusters defined in terms of average …

Inferring spatial source of disease outbreaks using maximum entropy

M Ansari, D Soriano-Paños, G Ghoshal, AD White - Physical Review E, 2022 - APS
Mathematical modeling of disease outbreaks can infer the future trajectory of an epidemic,
allowing for making more informed policy decisions. Another task is inferring the origin of a …

Bounded risk disposition explains Turing patterns and tip** points during spatial contagions

CM Jamerlan, M Prokopenko - Royal Society Open …, 2024 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Spatial contagions, such as pandemics, opinion polarization, infodemics and civil unrest,
exhibit non-trivial spatio-temporal patterns and dynamics driven by complex human …

The polycentric dynamics of Melbourne and Sydney: Suburb attractiveness divides a city at the home ownership level

E Crosato, M Prokopenko… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Urban dynamics in large metropolitan areas result from complex interactions across social,
economic and political factors, including population distribution, flows of wealth and …

Epidemic Thresholds and Disease Dynamics in Metapopulations: The Role of Network Structure and Human Mobility

HK Das, LM Stolerman - SIAM Journal on Applied Dynamical Systems, 2024 - SIAM
We calculate epidemic thresholds and investigate the dynamics of a disease in a networked
metapopulation. To study the specific role of mobility levels, we utilize the SIR-network …