A review of human linguistic probability processing: General principles and empirical evidence
This article reviews research on how people use and understand linguistic expressions of
uncertainty, with a view toward the needs of researchers and others interested in artificial …
uncertainty, with a view toward the needs of researchers and others interested in artificial …
Words or numbers? Communicating probability in intelligence analysis.
Intelligence analysis is fundamentally an exercise in expert judgment made under
conditions of uncertainty. These judgments are used to inform consequential decisions …
conditions of uncertainty. These judgments are used to inform consequential decisions …
Strategies to help patients understand risks
J Paling - Bmj, 2003 - bmj.com
Methods I have taught risk communication in risk prone professions outside medicine for
over a decade. 1 More recently, I have adapted my materials to respond to the needs of …
over a decade. 1 More recently, I have adapted my materials to respond to the needs of …
Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports
Abstract The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) publishes periodical
assessment reports informing policymakers and the public on issues relevant to the …
assessment reports informing policymakers and the public on issues relevant to the …
Processing linguistic probabilities: General principles and empirical evidence
Publisher Summary This chapter discusses that practical issues arise because weighty
decisions often depend on forecasts and opinions communicated from one person or set of …
decisions often depend on forecasts and opinions communicated from one person or set of …
Talking probabilities: communicating probabilistic information with words and numbers
The number of knowledge-based systems that build on Bayesian belief networks is
increasing. The construction of such a network however requires a large number of …
increasing. The construction of such a network however requires a large number of …
[كتاب][B] Adverse drug reactions
A Lee - 2006 - books.google.com
Adverse reactions to medicines continue to present a burden on healthcare, causing
considerable morbidity and mortality. Aswell as knowing about the benefits of medicines …
considerable morbidity and mortality. Aswell as knowing about the benefits of medicines …
[كتاب][B] Risk, communication and health psychology
D Berry - 2004 - books.google.com
This is the first book to clearly assess the increasingly important area of communication of
risk in the health sector. We are moving away from the days when paternalistic doctors …
risk in the health sector. We are moving away from the days when paternalistic doctors …
Verbal probabilities: Very likely to be somewhat more confusing than numbers
People interpret verbal expressions of probabilities (eg 'very likely') in different ways, yet
words are commonly preferred to numbers when communicating uncertainty. Simply …
words are commonly preferred to numbers when communicating uncertainty. Simply …
How to elicit many probabilities
In building Bayesian belief networks, the elicitation of all probabilities required can be a
major obstacle. We learned the extent of this often-cited observation in the construction of …
major obstacle. We learned the extent of this often-cited observation in the construction of …