Sudden stratospheric warmings

MP Baldwin, B Ayarzagüena, T Birner… - Reviews of …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are impressive fluid dynamical events in which
large and rapid temperature increases in the winter polar stratosphere (∼ 10–50 km) are …

The teleconnection of El Niño Southern Oscillation to the stratosphere

DIV Domeisen, CI Garfinkel… - Reviews of Geophysics, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
El Niño and La Niña events in the tropical Pacific have significant and disrupting impacts on
the global atmospheric and oceanic circulation. El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) …

The role of the stratosphere in subseasonal to seasonal prediction: 1. Predictability of the stratosphere

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The stratosphere has been identified as an important source of predictability for a range of
processes on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) time scales. Knowledge about S2S …

The remarkably strong Arctic stratospheric polar vortex of winter 2020: Links to record‐breaking Arctic oscillation and ozone loss

ZD Lawrence, J Perlwitz, AH Butler… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Northern Hemisphere (NH) polar winter stratosphere of 2019/2020 featured an
exceptionally strong and cold stratospheric polar vortex. Wave activity from the troposphere …

Windows of opportunity for skillful forecasts subseasonal to seasonal and beyond

A Mariotti, C Baggett, EA Barnes… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
There is high demand and a growing expectation for predictions of environmental conditions
that go beyond 0–14-day weather forecasts with outlooks extending to one or more seasons …

Predictability of downward propagation of major sudden stratospheric warmings

AY Karpechko, P Hitchcock, DHW Peters… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Major sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) are striking phenomena of wintertime
stratospheric circulation usually defined as a reversal of zonal mean circulation from …

The Southern Hemisphere minor sudden stratospheric warming in September 2019 and its predictions in S2S models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, IP White… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
A minor sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) happened in September 2019 in the Southern
Hemisphere (SH) with winds at 10 hPa, 60° S reaching their minimum value on 18 …

Current and emerging developments in subseasonal to decadal prediction

WJ Merryfield, J Baehr, L Batté… - Bulletin of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Weather and climate variations on subseasonal to decadal time scales can have enormous
social, economic, and environmental impacts, making skillful predictions on these time …

The 2019 new year stratospheric sudden warming and its real‐time predictions in multiple S2S models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, H Chen… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Using multiple data sources, favorable conditions for the 2019 SSW event and its predictive
skill from 11 subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecast models are explored in this study. This …

Estimating the frequency of sudden stratospheric warming events from surface observations of the North Atlantic Oscillation

DIV Domeisen - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events can exhibit long‐lasting surface impacts that
promise improvements in medium‐range to seasonal predictability. Their surface impact is …