An assessment of Earth's climate sensitivity using multiple lines of evidence
We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
atmospheric CO2, characterized by an effective sensitivity S. This evidence includes …
Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity
Equilibrium climate sensitivity characterizes the Earth's long-term global temperature
response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. It has reached almost iconic status …
response to increased atmospheric CO2 concentration. It has reached almost iconic status …
Palaeoclimate constraints on the impact of 2 C anthropogenic warming and beyond
Over the past 3.5 million years, there have been several intervals when climate conditions
were warmer than during the pre-industrial Holocene. Although past intervals of warming …
were warmer than during the pre-industrial Holocene. Although past intervals of warming …
The physics of climate variability and climate change
The climate is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex, and heterogeneous system that is
out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of …
out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of …
Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system
Specific components of the Earth system may abruptly change their state in response to
gradual changes in forcing. This possibility has attracted great scientific interest in recent …
gradual changes in forcing. This possibility has attracted great scientific interest in recent …
North Atlantic temperature and pCO2 coupling in the early-middle Miocene
Climate proxies indicate coupling between changes in atmospheric pCO 2, global
temperatures, and ice volume over much of the Cenozoic. Evidence has been presented for …
temperatures, and ice volume over much of the Cenozoic. Evidence has been presented for …
Climate Sensitivity Increases Under Higher CO2 Levels Due to Feedback Temperature Dependence
Equilibrium climate sensitivity‐the equilibrium warming per CO2 doubling‐increases with
CO2 concentration for 13 of 14 coupled general circulation models for 0.5–8 times the …
CO2 concentration for 13 of 14 coupled general circulation models for 0.5–8 times the …
What can Palaeoclimate Modelling do for you?
In modern environmental and climate science it is necessary to assimilate observational
datasets collected over decades with outputs from numerical models, to enable a full …
datasets collected over decades with outputs from numerical models, to enable a full …
Detecting and attributing change in climate and complex systems: Foundations, Green's functions, and nonlinear fingerprints
Detection and attribution (DA) studies are cornerstones of climate science, providing crucial
evidence for policy decisions. Their goal is to link observed climate change patterns to …
evidence for policy decisions. Their goal is to link observed climate change patterns to …
Early Pleistocene Obliquity‐Scale pCO2 Variability at ~1.5 Million Years Ago
In the early Pleistocene, global temperature cycles predominantly varied with~ 41‐kyr
(obliquity‐scale) periodicity. Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations likely played a …
(obliquity‐scale) periodicity. Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations likely played a …