NPCC4: Tail risk, climate drivers of extreme heat, and new methods for extreme event projections

L Ortiz, C Braneon, R Horton, D Bader… - Annals of the New …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract We summarize historic New York City (NYC) climate change trends and provide the
latest scientific analyses on projected future changes based on a range of global …

Response of precipitation extremes to warming: what have we learned from theory and idealized cloud-resolving simulations, and what remains to be learned?

C Muller, Y Takayabu - Environmental Research Letters, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
This paper reviews recent important advances in our understanding of the response of
precipitation extremes to warming from theory and from idealized cloud-resolving …

Detailed investigation of the self-aggregation of convection in cloud-resolving simulations

CJ Muller, IM Held - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2012 - journals.ametsoc.org
In models of radiative–convective equilibrium it is known that convection can spontaneously
aggregate into one single localized moist region if the domain is large enough. The large …

Rewriting the climatology of the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea atmosphere

JP Dunion - Journal of Climate, 2011 - journals.ametsoc.org
The Jordan mean tropical sounding has provided a benchmark reference for representing
the climatology of the tropical North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea atmosphere for over 50 …

Intensification of precipitation extremes with warming in a cloud-resolving model

CJ Muller, PA O'Gorman, LE Back - Journal of Climate, 2011 - journals.ametsoc.org
A cloud-resolving model is used to investigate the effect of warming on high percentiles of
precipitation (precipitation extremes) in the idealized setting of radiative-convective …

Influence of entrainment on the thermal stratification in simulations of radiative‐convective equilibrium

MS Singh, PA O'Gorman - Geophysical Research Letters, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Convective available potential energy (CAPE) is shown to increase rapidly with warming in
simulations of radiative‐convective equilibrium over a wide range of surface temperatures …

Influence of microphysics on the scaling of precipitation extremes with temperature

MS Singh, PA O'Gorman - Geophysical Research Letters, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Simulations of radiative‐convective equilibrium with a cloud‐system resolving model are
used to investigate the scaling of high percentiles of the precipitation distribution …

Increases in moist‐convective updraught velocities with warming in radiative‐convective equilibrium

MS Singh, PA O'Gorman - Quarterly Journal of the Royal …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
The scaling of updraught velocities over a wide range of surface temperatures is
investigated in simulations of radiative‐convective equilibrium with a cloud‐system resolving …

Relationships between the large‐scale atmosphere and the small‐scale convective state for Darwin, Australia

L Davies, C Jakob, P May, VV Kumar… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
A persistent problem for numerical weather and climate models is the representation of
tropical convective precipitation which for the most part occurs on spatial and temporal …

Clausius–Clapeyron scaling of peak CAPE in continental convective storm environments

V Agard, K Emanuel - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2017 - journals.ametsoc.org
A thermodynamic constraint on convective available potential energy (CAPE) in continental
environments is established using an idealized one-dimensional model. This theoretical …