Predicting september arctic sea ice: A multimodel seasonal skill comparison

M Bushuk, S Ali, DA Bailey, Q Bao… - Bulletin of the …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
This study quantifies the state of the art in the rapidly growing field of seasonal Arctic sea ice
prediction. A novel multimodel dataset of retrospective seasonal predictions of September …

Deep learning of systematic sea ice model errors from data assimilation increments

W Gregory, M Bushuk, A Adcroft… - Journal of Advances …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Data assimilation is often viewed as a framework for correcting short‐term error growth in
dynamical climate model forecasts. When viewed on the time scales of climate however …

Mechanisms of Regional Arctic Sea ice predictability in two dynamical seasonal forecast systems

M Bushuk, Y Zhang, M Winton, B Hurlin… - Journal of …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Research over the past decade has demonstrated that dynamical forecast systems can
skillfully predict pan-Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) on the seasonal time scale; however, there …

Machine learning for online sea ice bias correction within global ice‐ocean simulations

W Gregory, M Bushuk, Y Zhang… - Geophysical …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
In this study, we perform online sea ice bias correction within a Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
Laboratory global ice‐ocean model. For this, we use a convolutional neural network (CNN) …

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) prediction of atmospheric rivers in the Northern Winter

W Zhang, B **ang, KC Tseng, NC Johnson… - npj Climate and …, 2024 - nature.com
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are characterized by intense lower tropospheric plumes of
moisture transport that are frequently responsible for midlatitude wind and precipitation …

The impacts of optimizing model‐dependent parameters on the Antarctic sea ice data assimilation

H Luo, Q Yang, M Mazloff, L Nerger… - Geophysical Research …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Given the role played by the historical and extensive coverage of sea ice concentration (SIC)
observations in reconstructing the long‐term variability of Antarctic sea ice, and the limited …

A deep learning-based bias correction model for Arctic sea ice concentration towards MITgcm

S Yuan, S Zhu, X Luo, B Mu - Ocean Modelling, 2024 - Elsevier
Accurate prediction of Arctic sea ice is essential for ship navigation. The numerical forecast
is an important method to predict sea ice. However, currently, it has significant bias from …

Improvements in september arctic sea ice predictions via assimilation of summer CryoSat‐2 sea ice thickness observations

YF Zhang, M Bushuk, M Winton, B Hurlin… - Geophysical …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Because of a spring predictability barrier, the seasonal forecast skill of Arctic summer sea ice
is limited by the availability of melt‐season sea ice thickness (SIT) observations. The first …

[HTML][HTML] Self-Attention Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory for Short-Term Arctic Sea Ice Motion Prediction Using Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer …

D Zhong, N Liu, L Yang, L Lin, H Chen - Remote Sensing, 2023 - mdpi.com
Over the past four decades, Arctic sea ice coverage has steadily declined. This loss of sea
ice has amplified solar radiation and heat absorption from the ocean, exacerbating both …

Advances in seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice with NOAA UFS

J Zhu, W Wang, Y Liu, A Kumar… - Geophysical Research …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Unified Forecast System (UFS) is the next generation modeling infrastructure
under development for NOAA's operational numerical weather/climate predictions. This …