The housing boom and bust: Model meets evidence

G Kaplan, K Mitman… - Journal of Political …, 2020 - journals.uchicago.edu
We build a model of the US economy with multiple aggregate shocks that generate
fluctuations in equilibrium house prices. Through counterfactual experiments, we study the …

What drives house price cycles? International experience and policy issues

JV Duca, J Muellbauer, A Murphy - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
The role of real estate during the global financial and economic crisis has prompted efforts to
better incorporate housing and financial channels into macro models, improve housing …

The macroeconomics of financial speculation

A Simsek - Annual Review of Economics, 2021 - annualreviews.org
I review the literature on financial speculation driven by belief disagreements from a
macroeconomics perspective. To highlight unifying themes, I develop a stylized …

Mortgage-default research and the recent foreclosure crisis

CL Foote, PS Willen - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2018 - annualreviews.org
This article reviews the surge in research on mortgage default inspired by the recent
foreclosure crisis. Economists already understood a great deal about default, both …

The saving glut of the rich

AR Mian, L Straub, A Sufi - 2020 - nber.org
Rising income inequality since the 1980s in the United States has generated a substantial
increase in saving by the top of the income distribution, which we call the saving glut of the …

Liquidity versus wealth in household debt obligations: Evidence from housing policy in the great recession

P Ganong, P Noel - American Economic Review, 2020 - aeaweb.org
We exploit variation in mortgage modifications to disentangle the impact of reducing long-
term obligations with no change in short-term payments (“wealth”), and reducing short-term …

Credit supply and housing speculation

A Mian, A Sufi - The Review of Financial Studies, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Credit supply expansion boosts housing speculation and amplifies the housing cycle. The
surge in private-label mortgage securitization in 2003 fueled a large expansion in mortgage …

Economic consequences of housing speculation

Z Gao, M Sockin, W **ong - The Review of Financial Studies, 2020 - academic.oup.com
By exploiting variation in state capital gains taxation as an instrument, we analyze the
economic consequences of housing speculation during the US housing boom in the 2000s …

A quantitative theory of the credit score

S Chatterjee, D Corbae, K Dempsey… - Econometrica, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
What is the role of credit scores in credit markets? We argue that it is, in part, the market's
assessment of a person's unobservable type, which here we take to be patience. We …

Cross-sectional patterns of mortgage debt during the housing boom: evidence and implications

CL Foote, L Loewenstein… - The Review of Economic …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
In this paper, we use two comprehensive micro-data sets to study how the distribution of
mortgage debt evolved during the 2000s housing boom. We show that the allocation of …