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The housing boom and bust: Model meets evidence
We build a model of the US economy with multiple aggregate shocks that generate
fluctuations in equilibrium house prices. Through counterfactual experiments, we study the …
fluctuations in equilibrium house prices. Through counterfactual experiments, we study the …
What drives house price cycles? International experience and policy issues
JV Duca, J Muellbauer, A Murphy - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
The role of real estate during the global financial and economic crisis has prompted efforts to
better incorporate housing and financial channels into macro models, improve housing …
better incorporate housing and financial channels into macro models, improve housing …
The macroeconomics of financial speculation
A Simsek - Annual Review of Economics, 2021 - annualreviews.org
I review the literature on financial speculation driven by belief disagreements from a
macroeconomics perspective. To highlight unifying themes, I develop a stylized …
macroeconomics perspective. To highlight unifying themes, I develop a stylized …
Mortgage-default research and the recent foreclosure crisis
This article reviews the surge in research on mortgage default inspired by the recent
foreclosure crisis. Economists already understood a great deal about default, both …
foreclosure crisis. Economists already understood a great deal about default, both …
The saving glut of the rich
Rising income inequality since the 1980s in the United States has generated a substantial
increase in saving by the top of the income distribution, which we call the saving glut of the …
increase in saving by the top of the income distribution, which we call the saving glut of the …
Liquidity versus wealth in household debt obligations: Evidence from housing policy in the great recession
We exploit variation in mortgage modifications to disentangle the impact of reducing long-
term obligations with no change in short-term payments (“wealth”), and reducing short-term …
term obligations with no change in short-term payments (“wealth”), and reducing short-term …
Credit supply and housing speculation
Credit supply expansion boosts housing speculation and amplifies the housing cycle. The
surge in private-label mortgage securitization in 2003 fueled a large expansion in mortgage …
surge in private-label mortgage securitization in 2003 fueled a large expansion in mortgage …
Economic consequences of housing speculation
By exploiting variation in state capital gains taxation as an instrument, we analyze the
economic consequences of housing speculation during the US housing boom in the 2000s …
economic consequences of housing speculation during the US housing boom in the 2000s …
A quantitative theory of the credit score
What is the role of credit scores in credit markets? We argue that it is, in part, the market's
assessment of a person's unobservable type, which here we take to be patience. We …
assessment of a person's unobservable type, which here we take to be patience. We …
Cross-sectional patterns of mortgage debt during the housing boom: evidence and implications
In this paper, we use two comprehensive micro-data sets to study how the distribution of
mortgage debt evolved during the 2000s housing boom. We show that the allocation of …
mortgage debt evolved during the 2000s housing boom. We show that the allocation of …