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Insights from Earth system model initial-condition large ensembles and future prospects
Internal variability in the climate system confounds assessment of human-induced climate
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
change and imposes irreducible limits on the accuracy of climate change projections …
Unique challenges and opportunities for northeastern US crop production in a changing climate
Climate change may both exacerbate the vulnerabilities and open up new opportunities for
farming in the Northeastern USA. Among the opportunities are double-crop** and new …
farming in the Northeastern USA. Among the opportunities are double-crop** and new …
Reproductive losses due to climate change‐induced earlier flowering are not the primary threat to plant population viability in a perennial herb
Despite a global footprint of shifts in flowering phenology in response to climate change, the
reproductive consequences of these shifts are poorly understood. Furthermore, it is …
reproductive consequences of these shifts are poorly understood. Furthermore, it is …
Vulnerability of specialty crops to short-term climatic variability and adaptation strategies in the Midwestern USA
While the Midwestern USA ranks among the world's most important corn-soybean
production regions, the area also produces a variety of high-value specialty crops. These …
production regions, the area also produces a variety of high-value specialty crops. These …
Snowmelt control on spring hydrology declines as the vernal window lengthens
DS Grogan, EA Burakowski… - Environmental Research …, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
The vernal window, or the winter-to-spring transition, is a key period for seasonally snow-
covered, forested ecosystems. The events that open and close the vernal window shape the …
covered, forested ecosystems. The events that open and close the vernal window shape the …
A longer vernal window: the role of winter coldness and snowpack in driving spring transitions and lags
Climate change is altering the timing and duration of the vernal window, a period that marks
the end of winter and the start of the growing season when rapid transitions in ecosystem …
the end of winter and the start of the growing season when rapid transitions in ecosystem …
Evaluating late spring frost risks of apple in the Loess Plateau of China under future climate change with phenological modeling approach
X Ru, Y Jiang, Q Luo, R Wang, X Feng, J Wang… - Scientia …, 2023 - Elsevier
Abstract Changes in apple phenology associated with climate change have attracted
extensive attention. However, it is poorly known whether the phenological dynamics …
extensive attention. However, it is poorly known whether the phenological dynamics …
Past and present risk of spring frosts for fruit trees in the Czech Republic
Recent climate warming is reflected in the advanced onset of spring phenological phases of
fruit trees and in so-called false springs. This then manifests as an increased risk of trees …
fruit trees and in so-called false springs. This then manifests as an increased risk of trees …
Climate change reshapes the drivers of false spring risk across European trees
Temperate forests are shaped by late spring freezes after budburst–false springs–which
may shift with climate change. Research to date has generated conflicting results, potentially …
may shift with climate change. Research to date has generated conflicting results, potentially …
How well do the spring indices predict phenological activity across plant species?
KL Gerst, TM Crimmins, EE Posthumus… - International Journal of …, 2020 - Springer
The spring indices, models that represent the onset of spring season biological activity, were
developed using a long-term observational record from the mid-to-late twentieth century of …
developed using a long-term observational record from the mid-to-late twentieth century of …