Predictive models are central to many scientific disciplines and vital for informing
management in a rapidly changing world. However, limited understanding of the accuracy …

Fagus sylvatica is one of the most representative trees of the European deciduous
broadleaved forests, yet the impact of changing climatic conditions and anthropogenic …

Species occurrence records from online databases are an indispensable resource in
ecological, biogeographical and palaeontological research. However, issues with data …

Aim Species distribution modelling, a family of statistical methods that predicts species
distributions from a set of occurrences and environmental predictors, is now routinely …

Climate refugia, locations where taxa survive periods of regionally adverse climate, are
thought to be critical for maintaining biodiversity through the glacial–interglacial climate …

Ecological niche models represent key tools in biogeography but the effects of biased
sampling hinder their use. Here, we address the utility of two forms of filtering the calibration …

Species distribution modelling (SDM), also called environmental or ecological niche
modelling, has developed over the last 30 years as a widely used tool used in core areas of …

In an epoch of rapid environmental change, understanding and predicting how biodiversity
will respond to a changing climate is an urgent challenge. Since we seldom have sufficient …

Ecological niche models are widely used for map** the distribution of species during the
last glacial maximum (LGM). Although the selection of the variables and General Circulation …

There is an urgent need to understand species and community responses to climatic and
ecological changes to predict biodiversity patterns given anticipated global change. The …