Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards

B Merz, C Kuhlicke, M Kunz, M Pittore… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …

[HTML][HTML] Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system

J Fan, J Meng, J Ludescher, X Chen, Y Ashkenazy… - Physics reports, 2021 - Elsevier
Global warming, extreme climate events, earthquakes and their accompanying
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …

Develo**, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions

L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at regional and national scales: State of the art and future challenges

MC Gerstenberger, W Marzocchi, T Allen… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Seismic hazard modeling is a multidisciplinary science that aims to forecast earthquake
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …

Effect of attenuation on amplitude distribution and b value in rock acoustic emission tests

D Chen, X Liu, W He, C **a, F Gong… - Geophysical Journal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
The b value is a critical parameter that has been used to describe spatial and temporal size
distribution characteristics in data from both natural seismicity and laboratory rock acoustic …

The effect of a mainshock on the size distribution of the aftershocks

L Gulia, AP Rinaldi, T Tormann… - Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
A systematic decay of the aftershock rate over time is one of the most fundamental empirical
laws in Earth science. However, the equally fundamental effect of a mainshock on the size …

Improving physics‐based aftershock forecasts during the 2016–2017 Central Italy Earthquake Cascade

S Mancini, M Segou, MJ Werner… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The 2016–2017 Central Apennines earthquake sequence is a recent example of
how damages from subsequent aftershocks can exceed those caused by the initial …

[HTML][HTML] Estimating reactivation times and velocities of slow-moving landslides via PS-InSAR and their relationship with precipitation in Central Italy

E Ghaderpour, C Masciulli, M Zocchi, F Bozzano… - Remote Sensing, 2024 - mdpi.com
Monitoring slow-moving landslides is a crucial task for socioeconomic risk prevention and/or
mitigation. Persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) is an …

Abnormal low-magnitude seismicity preceding large-magnitude earthquakes

T Girona, K Drymoni - Nature Communications, 2024 - nature.com
Unraveling the precursory signals of potentially destructive earthquakes is crucial to
understand the Earth's crust dynamics and to provide reliable seismic warnings. Earthquake …

Prospective CSEP evaluation of 1‐day, 3‐month, and 5‐yr earthquake forecasts for Italy

M Taroni, W Marzocchi… - Seismological …, 2018 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
In 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched
three experiments to forecast the distribution of earthquakes in Italy in the subsequent 5 yrs …