Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
[HTML][HTML] Statistical physics approaches to the complex Earth system
Global warming, extreme climate events, earthquakes and their accompanying
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …
socioeconomic disasters pose significant risks to humanity. Yet due to the nonlinear …
Develo**, testing, and communicating earthquake forecasts: Current practices and future directions
L Mizrahi, I Dallo, NJ van der Elst… - Reviews of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
While deterministically predicting the time and location of earthquakes remains impossible,
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
earthquake forecasting models can provide estimates of the probabilities of earthquakes …
Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at regional and national scales: State of the art and future challenges
Seismic hazard modeling is a multidisciplinary science that aims to forecast earthquake
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
Effect of attenuation on amplitude distribution and b value in rock acoustic emission tests
D Chen, X Liu, W He, C **a, F Gong… - Geophysical Journal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
The b value is a critical parameter that has been used to describe spatial and temporal size
distribution characteristics in data from both natural seismicity and laboratory rock acoustic …
distribution characteristics in data from both natural seismicity and laboratory rock acoustic …
The effect of a mainshock on the size distribution of the aftershocks
L Gulia, AP Rinaldi, T Tormann… - Geophysical …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
A systematic decay of the aftershock rate over time is one of the most fundamental empirical
laws in Earth science. However, the equally fundamental effect of a mainshock on the size …
laws in Earth science. However, the equally fundamental effect of a mainshock on the size …
Improving physics‐based aftershock forecasts during the 2016–2017 Central Italy Earthquake Cascade
Abstract The 2016–2017 Central Apennines earthquake sequence is a recent example of
how damages from subsequent aftershocks can exceed those caused by the initial …
how damages from subsequent aftershocks can exceed those caused by the initial …
[HTML][HTML] Estimating reactivation times and velocities of slow-moving landslides via PS-InSAR and their relationship with precipitation in Central Italy
E Ghaderpour, C Masciulli, M Zocchi, F Bozzano… - Remote Sensing, 2024 - mdpi.com
Monitoring slow-moving landslides is a crucial task for socioeconomic risk prevention and/or
mitigation. Persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) is an …
mitigation. Persistent scatterer interferometric synthetic aperture radar (PS-InSAR) is an …
Abnormal low-magnitude seismicity preceding large-magnitude earthquakes
Unraveling the precursory signals of potentially destructive earthquakes is crucial to
understand the Earth's crust dynamics and to provide reliable seismic warnings. Earthquake …
understand the Earth's crust dynamics and to provide reliable seismic warnings. Earthquake …
Prospective CSEP evaluation of 1‐day, 3‐month, and 5‐yr earthquake forecasts for Italy
M Taroni, W Marzocchi… - Seismological …, 2018 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
In 2009, the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) launched
three experiments to forecast the distribution of earthquakes in Italy in the subsequent 5 yrs …
three experiments to forecast the distribution of earthquakes in Italy in the subsequent 5 yrs …