Accelerated progress in climate modeling is urgently needed for proactive and effective
climate change adaptation. The central challenge lies in accurately representing processes …

In spite of the chaotic nature of the atmosphere and involvement of complex nonlinear
dynamics, forecasting climate fluctuations over different timescales is feasible due to the …

Most climate change detection and attribution studies have focused on mean or extreme
temperature or precipitation, neglecting to explore long-term changes in drought …

The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …

We evaluate the performance of a large ensemble of Global Climate Models (GCMs) from
the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) over South America for a …

Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …

In tropical regions, particularly in Central and South America (CSA), the projections of
climate seasonality under climate change are still uncertain. This is especially true for …

Future changes in extratropical cyclones and the associated storm tracks are uncertain.
Using the new CMIP6 models, we investigate changes to seasonal mean storm tracks and …

State-of-the-art Earth system models typically employ grid spacings of O (100 km), which is
too coarse to explicitly resolve main drivers of the flow of energy and matter across the Earth …

Most current climate models predict that the equatorial Pacific will evolve under greenhouse
gas–induced warming to a more El Niño-like state over the next several decades, with a …