Advances in understanding large‐scale responses of the water cycle to climate change

RP Allan, M Barlow, MP Byrne… - Annals of the New …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Globally, thermodynamics explains an increase in atmospheric water vapor with warming of
around 7%/° C near to the surface. In contrast, global precipitation and evaporation are …

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

A Hall, P Cox, C Huntingford, S Klein - Nature Climate Change, 2019 - nature.com
In recent years, an evaluation technique for Earth System Models (ESMs) has arisen—
emergent constraints (ECs)—which rely on strong statistical relationships between aspects …

The double‐ITCZ bias in CMIP3, CMIP5, and CMIP6 models based on annual mean precipitation

B Tian, X Dong - Geophysical Research Letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The double‐intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) bias is one of the most outstanding errors
in all previous generations of climate models. Here, the annual double‐ITCZ bias and the …

Earth system modeling 2.0: A blueprint for models that learn from observations and targeted high‐resolution simulations

T Schneider, S Lan, A Stuart… - Geophysical Research …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Climate projections continue to be marred by large uncertainties, which originate in
processes that need to be parameterized, such as clouds, convection, and ecosystems. But …

Present‐day and future climate over central and South America according to CMIP5/CMIP6 models

G Ortega, PA Arias, JC Villegas… - International Journal …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
In tropical regions, particularly in Central and South America (CSA), the projections of
climate seasonality under climate change are still uncertain. This is especially true for …

Climate model configurations of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (ECMWF-IFS cycle 43r1) for HighResMIP

CD Roberts, R Senan, F Molteni… - Geoscientific model …, 2018 - gmd.copernicus.org
This paper presents atmosphere-only and coupled climate model configurations of the
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System …

Tropical cyclone sensitivities to CO2 doubling: roles of atmospheric resolution, synoptic variability and background climate changes

GA Vecchi, TL Delworth, H Murakami, SD Underwood… - Climate Dynamics, 2019 - Springer
Responses of tropical cyclones (TCs) to CO 2 doubling are explored using coupled global
climate models (GCMs) with increasingly refined atmospheric/land horizontal grids (~ 200 …

Reducing uncertainties in climate projections with emergent constraints: Concepts, examples and prospects

F Brient - Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2020 - Springer
Abstract Models disagree on a significant number of responses to climate change, such as
climate feedback, regional changes, or the strength of equilibrium climate sensitivity …

Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models

E Moreno-Chamarro, LP Caron… - Geoscientific Model …, 2021 - gmd.copernicus.org
We examine the impacts of increased resolution on four long-standing biases using five
different climate models developed within the PRIMAVERA project. Atmospheric resolution …

Regional and seasonal variations of the double-ITCZ bias in CMIP5 models

O Adam, T Schneider, F Brient - Climate Dynamics, 2018 - Springer
Current climate models represent the zonal-and annual-mean intertropical convergence
zone (ITCZ) position in a biased way, with an unrealistic double precipitation peak straddling …