ABSTRACT The Tibetan Plateau (TP) has a significant influence on local, regional, and
even global weather and climate systems. Precipitation on the TP plays a critical role in the …

As the rate and magnitude of climate change accelerate, understanding the consequences
becomes increasingly important. Species distribution models (SDMs) based on current …

Abstract The Paris Agreement aims to limit global mean warming in the twenty-first century to
less than 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels, and to promote further efforts to limit …

Higher precipitation is expected over most of the world's continents under climate change,
except for a few specific regions where models project robust declines. Among these, the …

Abstract North China Plain is the heartland of modern China. This fertile plain has
experienced vast expansion of irrigated agriculture which cools surface temperature and …

The risk associated with any climate change impact reflects intensity of natural hazard and
level of human vulnerability. Previous work has shown that a wet-bulb temperature of 35° C …

Polar temperatures over the last several million years have, at times, been slightly warmer
than today, yet global mean sea level has been 6–9 metres higher as recently as the Last …

Mechanisms such as ice‐shelf hydrofracturing and ice‐cliff collapse may rapidly increase
discharge from marine‐based ice sheets. Here, we link a probabilistic framework for sea …

Atmospheric warming is projected to increase global mean surface temperatures by 0.3 to
4.8 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial values by the end of this century. If anthropogenic …

Geological data indicate that global mean sea level has fluctuated on 10 3 to 10 6 yr time
scales during the last∼ 25 million years, at times reaching 20 m or more above modern. If …