[HTML][HTML] Insights into atmospheric predictability through global convection-permitting model simulations

F Judt - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Insights into Atmospheric Predictability through Global Convection-Permitting Model
Simulations in: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences Volume 75 Issue 5 (2018) Jump to …

Linking rapid forecast error growth to diabatic processes

C Sánchez, J Methven, S Gray… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The predictability of high‐impact weather events over the North Atlantic is controlled by
synoptic‐scale systems and the mesoscale structures embedded within them. Despite …

Forecasting PM10 hourly concentrations in northern Italy: insights on models performance and PM10 drivers through self-organizing maps

G Gualtieri, F Carotenuto, S Finardi, M Tartaglia… - Atmospheric Pollution …, 2018 - Elsevier
A linear and an artificial neural network (ANN) statistical model have been developed and
validated for short-term forecasting of PM 10 hourly concentrations in the city of Brescia …

The influence of DACCIWA radiosonde data on the quality of ECMWF analyses and forecasts over southern West Africa

R van der Linden, P Knippertz, AH Fink… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract During the DACCIWA (Dynamics–Aerosol–Chemistry–Cloud Interactions in West
Africa) field campaign∼ 900 radiosondes were launched from 12 stations in southern West …

A Combined Scheme based on the Multiscale Stochastic Perturbed Parameterization Tendencies and Perturbed Boundary Layer Parameterization for a Global …

F Peng, X Li, J Chen - Weather and Forecasting, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Stochastic representations of model uncertainties are of great importance for the
performance of ensemble prediction systems (EPSs). The stochastically perturbed …

Impact of the mesoscale range on error growth and the limits to atmospheric predictability

TY Leung, M Leutbecher, S Reich… - Journal of the …, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Global numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have begun to resolve the mesoscale
k− 5/3 range of the energy spectrum, which is known to impose an inherently finite range of …

A new theoretical framework for understanding multiscale atmospheric predictability

YQ Sun, F Zhang - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Here we present a new theoretical framework that connects the error growth behavior in
numerical weather prediction (NWP) with the atmospheric kinetic energy spectrum. Building …

[HTML][HTML] Comments on “What is the predictability limit of midlatitude weather?”

N Žagar, I Szunyogh - Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2020 - journals.ametsoc.org
Comments on “What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?” in: Journal of the
Atmospheric Sciences Volume 77 Issue 2 (2020) Jump to Content Jump to Main Navigation …

Predictability of midlatitude Rossby‐wave packets

I Prestel‐Kupferer, M Riemer… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Rossby‐wave packets (RWPs) along the midlatitude jet are a fundamental ingredient of
extratropical dynamics. RWPs have been linked to enhanced atmospheric predictability and …

[HTML][HTML] A technique for the verification of precipitation forecasts and its application to a problem of predictability

F Han, I Szunyogh - Monthly Weather Review, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
A Technique for the Verification of Precipitation Forecasts and Its Application to a Problem
of Predictability in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 146 Issue 5 (2018) Jump to Content …