Financial machine learning

B Kelly, D **u - Foundations and Trends® in Finance, 2023 - nowpublishers.com
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We
highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend …

Test assets and weak factors

S Giglio, D **u, D Zhang - The Journal of Finance, 2025 - Wiley Online Library
We show that two important issues in empirical asset pricing—the presence of weak factors
and the selection of test assets—are deeply connected. Since weak factors are those to …

Working capital financing and firm performance: A machine learning approach

F Mahmood, Z Ahmed, N Hussain… - Review of Quantitative …, 2023 - Springer
Companies always try to balance the risk and return on their investments, finances, and
daily operations. This study presents the moderating role of ownership status, company size …

[PDF][PDF] Does Noise Hurt Economic Forecasts?

Y Liao, X Ma, A Neuhierl, Z Shi - Available at SSRN, 2024 - aeaweb.org
No, it can help. To support our argument, we show that economic forecast models driven by
latent factors are not sparse. This fact allows us to establish a compelling result that …

[PDF][PDF] The University of Chicago

K Zhang - United States, 2024 - knowledge.uchicago.edu
First and foremost, I extend my deepest gratitude to my advisor, Prof. Dacheng **u, who has
guided me since my master's studies. Dacheng has not only been an exceptional academic …

When can weak latent factors be statistically inferred?

J Fan, Y Yan, Y Zheng - arxiv preprint arxiv:2407.03616, 2024 - arxiv.org
This article establishes a new and comprehensive estimation and inference theory for
principal component analysis (PCA) under the weak factor model that allow for cross …

Does Principal Component Analysis Preserve the Sparsity in Sparse Weak Factor Models?

J Wei, Y Zhang - arxiv preprint arxiv:2305.05934, 2023 - arxiv.org
This paper studies the principal component (PC) method-based estimation of weak factor
models with sparse loadings. We uncover an intrinsic near-sparsity preservation property for …

Generalized autoregressive conditional betas: a new multivariate score-driven filter

S Blazsek, A Jörding, S Rai - Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & …, 2024 - degruyter.com
In this paper, we extend the recent Gaussian autoregressive conditional beta (Gaussian-
ACB) model from the literature on score-driven models. In the new asset pricing model …

Market Risk Premium: Best Linear Predictor in High Dimension

F Jiang, K Li, G Tong, G Zhou - Available at SSRN 4995238, 2024 - papers.ssrn.com
In the age of big data, PCA and PLS are widely used in finance for dimension deduction to
identify a few predictive factors. In this paper, we make a surprising discovery that the …

On the Forecastability of Agricultural Output

F Kyriazi, E Xylangouras, T Papadogonas - Review of Economic Analysis, 2024 - erudit.org
The disruption of supply chain due to Covid-19 and the war in Ukraine, render the prediction
of agricultural output a determinant factor of economic life. We consider the predictability of …