A review of train delay prediction approaches

T Spanninger, A Trivella, B Büchel, F Corman - Journal of Rail Transport …, 2022 - Elsevier
Railway operations are vulnerable to delays. Accurate predictions of train arrival and
departure delays improve the passenger service quality and are essential for real-time …

Quantitative methods for train delay propagation research

KY Tiong, CW Palmqvist - Transportation Research Procedia, 2023 - Elsevier
Due to the increase in railway traffic, trains increasingly need to adhere to their scheduled
path to avoid extensive propagation of delays. This paper presents the findings of a …

Train traffic control in merging stations: A data-driven approach

P Huang, Z Li, Y Zhu, C Wen, F Corman - Transportation research part C …, 2023 - Elsevier
Railway operations are subject to deviations from the planned schedule, ie, delays. In those
situations, high-quality traffic control actions are needed to reduce the delays. Existing …

Prediction of train arrival delays considering route conflicts at multi-line stations

Z Li, P Huang, C Wen, X Jiang, F Rodrigues - Transportation Research Part …, 2022 - Elsevier
Multi-line stations (MLSs) are the intersections of different railway lines; they are crucial for
delay propagation in railway networks. Therefore, the precise prediction of train arrival …

Enhancing the understanding of train delays with delay evolution pattern discovery: A clustering and Bayesian network approach

P Huang, T Spanninger… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Train delay evolutions exhibit different patterns (ie, increasing delays, decreasing delays, or
unchanged delays), because of the effects of stochastic disturbances and pre-scheduled …

Explainable train delay propagation: A graph attention network approach

P Huang, J Guo, S Liu, F Corman - Transportation Research Part E …, 2024 - Elsevier
Explaining train delay propagation using influence factors (to find the determinants) is
essential for transport planning and train operation management. Due to high interpretability …

[HTML][HTML] Identifying the latent relationships between factors associated with traffic crashes through graphical models

MB Ulak, EE Ozguven - Accident Analysis & Prevention, 2024 - Elsevier
Traffic safety field has been oriented toward finding the relationships between crash
outcomes and predictor variables to understand crash phenomena and/or predict future …

[HTML][HTML] Understanding bus delay patterns under different temporal and weather conditions: A Bayesian Gaussian mixture model

X Chen, S Saidi, L Sun - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2025 - Elsevier
In public transit systems, bus delays significantly impact service reliability and passenger
satisfaction. Causal delays, consisting of link running and stop dwell delays, are critical …

Train operation conflict detection for high-speed railways: a naive Bayes approach

J Li, Z Li, C Wen, Q Peng, P Huang - International Journal of Rail …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Accurately detecting train operation conflicts (TOC) has great significance for improving the
emergency handling ability of dispatchers during interference. In this study, a conflict …

Population synthesis accommodating heterogeneity: a Bayesian network and generalized raking technique

MN Rahman, MR Fatmi - Transportation research record, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
Agent-based microsimulation modeling techniques are adopted for urban system modeling
mainly because of their capacity to address the complex interactions among individuals …