Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations
Species distribution models predict a wholesale redistribution of trees in the next century, yet
migratory responses necessary to spatially track climates far exceed maximum post‐glacial …
migratory responses necessary to spatially track climates far exceed maximum post‐glacial …
Aerobiological modelling II: A review of long-range transport models
The long-range atmospheric transport models of pollen and fungal spores require four
modules for their development:(i) Meteorological module: which contain the meteorological …
modules for their development:(i) Meteorological module: which contain the meteorological …
Phenology is a major determinant of tree species range
I Chuine, EG Beaubien - Ecology Letters, 2001 - Wiley Online Library
Global warming is expected to have a major impact on plant distributions, an issue of key
importance in biological conservation. However, very few models are able to predict species …
importance in biological conservation. However, very few models are able to predict species …
Photoperiod sensitivity of bud burst in 14 temperate forest tree species
The timing of spring phenology of trees reflects a trade-off between a longer growing season
and a lower risk for damage by late freezing events. Temperature is driving rates of …
and a lower risk for damage by late freezing events. Temperature is driving rates of …
Assessing the effects of climate change on the phenology of European temperate trees
Modelling phenology is crucial to assess the impact of climate change on the length of the
canopy duration and the productivity of terrestrial ecosystems. Focusing on six dominant …
canopy duration and the productivity of terrestrial ecosystems. Focusing on six dominant …
Leaf phenology sensitivity to temperature in European trees: do within-species populations exhibit similar responses?
Consequences of climate warming on tree phenology are readily observable, but little is
known about the differences in phenological sensitivity to temperature between species and …
known about the differences in phenological sensitivity to temperature between species and …
Evaluating phenological models for the prediction of leaf-out dates in six temperate tree species across central Europe
D Basler - Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2016 - Elsevier
Inter-annual variation in climate is reflected by changes in the timing of phenology. Over the
last decades a considerable number of models have been developed in order to explain the …
last decades a considerable number of models have been developed in order to explain the …
Modelling exploration of the future of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) under climate change—range, abundance, genetic diversity and adaptive response
We explored impacts of climate change on the geographic distribution of European beech
by applying state of the art statistical and process-based models, and assessed possible …
by applying state of the art statistical and process-based models, and assessed possible …
Modelling interannual and spatial variability of leaf senescence for three deciduous tree species in France
The annual timing of temperate forest leaf colouring is affected by climate change; to date, its
modelling remains a challenge. We take advantage of a ca. 400 leaf colouring observations …
modelling remains a challenge. We take advantage of a ca. 400 leaf colouring observations …
Quantifying phenological plasticity to temperature in two temperate tree species
Phenotypic plasticity allows large shifts in the timing of phenology within one single
generation and drives phenotypic variability under environmental changes, thus it will …
generation and drives phenotypic variability under environmental changes, thus it will …