Adaptation, migration or extirpation: climate change outcomes for tree populations

SN Aitken, S Yeaman, JA Holliday… - Evolutionary …, 2008 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models predict a wholesale redistribution of trees in the next century, yet
migratory responses necessary to spatially track climates far exceed maximum post‐glacial …

Aerobiological modelling II: A review of long-range transport models

AM Vélez-Pereira, C De Linares, J Belmonte - Science of the Total …, 2022 - Elsevier
The long-range atmospheric transport models of pollen and fungal spores require four
modules for their development:(i) Meteorological module: which contain the meteorological …

Phenology is a major determinant of tree species range

I Chuine, EG Beaubien - Ecology Letters, 2001 - Wiley Online Library
Global warming is expected to have a major impact on plant distributions, an issue of key
importance in biological conservation. However, very few models are able to predict species …

Photoperiod sensitivity of bud burst in 14 temperate forest tree species

D Basler, C Körner - Agricultural and forest Meteorology, 2012 - Elsevier
The timing of spring phenology of trees reflects a trade-off between a longer growing season
and a lower risk for damage by late freezing events. Temperature is driving rates of …

Assessing the effects of climate change on the phenology of European temperate trees

Y Vitasse, C Francois, N Delpierre, E Dufrêne… - Agricultural and Forest …, 2011 - Elsevier
Modelling phenology is crucial to assess the impact of climate change on the length of the
canopy duration and the productivity of terrestrial ecosystems. Focusing on six dominant …

Leaf phenology sensitivity to temperature in European trees: do within-species populations exhibit similar responses?

Y Vitasse, S Delzon, E Dufrêne, JY Pontailler… - Agricultural and forest …, 2009 - Elsevier
Consequences of climate warming on tree phenology are readily observable, but little is
known about the differences in phenological sensitivity to temperature between species and …

Evaluating phenological models for the prediction of leaf-out dates in six temperate tree species across central Europe

D Basler - Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2016 - Elsevier
Inter-annual variation in climate is reflected by changes in the timing of phenology. Over the
last decades a considerable number of models have been developed in order to explain the …

Modelling exploration of the future of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) under climate change—range, abundance, genetic diversity and adaptive response

K Kramer, B Degen, J Buschbom, T Hickler… - Forest Ecology and …, 2010 - Elsevier
We explored impacts of climate change on the geographic distribution of European beech
by applying state of the art statistical and process-based models, and assessed possible …

Modelling interannual and spatial variability of leaf senescence for three deciduous tree species in France

N Delpierre, E Dufrêne, K Soudani, E Ulrich… - agricultural and forest …, 2009 - Elsevier
The annual timing of temperate forest leaf colouring is affected by climate change; to date, its
modelling remains a challenge. We take advantage of a ca. 400 leaf colouring observations …

Quantifying phenological plasticity to temperature in two temperate tree species

Y Vitasse, CC Bresson, A Kremer, R Michalet… - Functional …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Phenotypic plasticity allows large shifts in the timing of phenology within one single
generation and drives phenotypic variability under environmental changes, thus it will …