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Operational Research: methods and applications
Abstract Throughout its history, Operational Research has evolved to include methods,
models and algorithms that have been applied to a wide range of contexts. This …
models and algorithms that have been applied to a wide range of contexts. This …
[HTML][HTML] Electricity market price forecasting using ELM and Bootstrap analysis: A case study of the German and Finnish Day-Ahead markets
Electricity market liberalization and the absence of cost-efficient energy storage
technologies have led to the transformation of state-owned electricity companies into …
technologies have led to the transformation of state-owned electricity companies into …
Estimating the impacts of a new power system on electricity prices under dual carbon targets
The construction of a new power system dominated by renewables is crucial for achieving
China's goals of carbon emission peaking and carbon neutrality. While numerous studies …
China's goals of carbon emission peaking and carbon neutrality. While numerous studies …
An optimized deep learning approach for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices
ÇB Bozlak, CF Yaşar - Electric Power Systems Research, 2024 - Elsevier
Electricity price forecasting is essential for reliable and cost-effective operations in the power
industry. However, the complex and nonlinear structure of the electricity price series …
industry. However, the complex and nonlinear structure of the electricity price series …
Joint forecasting of source-load-price for integrated energy system based on multi-task learning and hybrid attention mechanism
K Li, Y Mu, F Yang, H Wang, Y Yan, C Zhang - Applied energy, 2024 - Elsevier
In integrated energy systems (IESs), reliable planning and operation are challenging owing
to significant uncertainties in energy production, utilization, and trading. To this end, this …
to significant uncertainties in energy production, utilization, and trading. To this end, this …
[HTML][HTML] Postprocessing of point predictions for probabilistic forecasting of day-ahead electricity prices: The benefits of using isotonic distributional regression
Operational decisions relying on predictive distributions of electricity prices can result in
significantly higher profits compared to those based solely on point forecasts. However, the …
significantly higher profits compared to those based solely on point forecasts. However, the …
Can transformers transform financial forecasting?
Purpose This study aims to critically evaluate the competitiveness of Transformer-based
models in financial forecasting, specifically in the context of stock realized volatility …
models in financial forecasting, specifically in the context of stock realized volatility …
Charting new avenues in financial forecasting with TimesNet: The impact of intraperiod and interperiod variations on realized volatility prediction
HG Souto - Expert Systems with Applications, 2024 - Elsevier
This study evaluates TimesNet model for stock realized volatility forecasting, comparing its
efficacy against traditional and contemporary models across key metrics: RMSE, MAE …
efficacy against traditional and contemporary models across key metrics: RMSE, MAE …
[HTML][HTML] Probabilistic forecasting with a hybrid factor-qra approach: Application to electricity trading
This paper presents a novel hybrid approach for constricting probabilistic forecasts that
combines both the Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) method and the factor-based …
combines both the Quantile Regression Averaging (QRA) method and the factor-based …
Forecasting of coal and electricity prices in China: Evidence from the quantum bee colony-support vector regression neural network
W Pan, Z Guo, JSY Zhang, L Luo - Energy Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
Energy, the backbone of modern society, plays a crucial role in the development and
productivity of a nation. Predictive analysis in energy management is becoming increasingly …
productivity of a nation. Predictive analysis in energy management is becoming increasingly …