Heat waves: Physical understanding and scientific challenges
Heat waves (HWs) can cause large socioeconomic and environmental impacts. The
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …
Prediction and projection of heatwaves
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
ClimaX: A foundation model for weather and climate
Most state-of-the-art approaches for weather and climate modeling are based on physics-
informed numerical models of the atmosphere. These approaches aim to model the non …
informed numerical models of the atmosphere. These approaches aim to model the non …
The DOE E3SM model version 2: Overview of the physical model and initial model evaluation
This work documents version two of the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth
System Model (E3SM). E3SMv2 is a significant evolution from its predecessor E3SMv1 …
System Model (E3SM). E3SMv2 is a significant evolution from its predecessor E3SMv1 …
A machine learning model that outperforms conventional global subseasonal forecast models
Skillful subseasonal forecasts are crucial for various sectors of society but pose a grand
scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning-based weather forecasting models …
scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning-based weather forecasting models …
Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …
Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction
Flash droughts are a recently recognized type of extreme event distinguished by sudden
onset and rapid intensification of drought conditions with severe impacts. They unfold on …
onset and rapid intensification of drought conditions with severe impacts. They unfold on …
[HTML][HTML] Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions
The subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictive time scale, encompassing lead times ranging
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …
Fifty years of research on the Madden‐Julian Oscillation: Recent progress, challenges, and perspectives
Since its discovery in the early 1970s, the crucial role of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation
(MJO) in the global hydrological cycle and its tremendous influence on high‐impact climate …
(MJO) in the global hydrological cycle and its tremendous influence on high‐impact climate …
Spatiotemporal forecasting in earth system science: Methods, uncertainties, predictability and future directions
Spatiotemporal forecasting (STF) extends traditional time series forecasting or spatial
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …