Heat waves: Physical understanding and scientific challenges

D Barriopedro, R García‐Herrera… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Heat waves (HWs) can cause large socioeconomic and environmental impacts. The
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …

Prediction and projection of heatwaves

DIV Domeisen, EAB Eltahir, EM Fischer… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …

ClimaX: A foundation model for weather and climate

T Nguyen, J Brandstetter, A Kapoor, JK Gupta… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Most state-of-the-art approaches for weather and climate modeling are based on physics-
informed numerical models of the atmosphere. These approaches aim to model the non …

The DOE E3SM model version 2: Overview of the physical model and initial model evaluation

JC Golaz, LP Van Roekel, X Zheng… - Journal of Advances …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This work documents version two of the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth
System Model (E3SM). E3SMv2 is a significant evolution from its predecessor E3SMv1 …

A machine learning model that outperforms conventional global subseasonal forecast models

L Chen, X Zhong, H Li, J Wu, B Lu, D Chen… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Skillful subseasonal forecasts are crucial for various sectors of society but pose a grand
scientific challenge. Recently, machine learning-based weather forecasting models …

Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

Flash droughts present a new challenge for subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction

AG Pendergrass, GA Meehl, R Pulwarty… - Nature Climate …, 2020 - nature.com
Flash droughts are a recently recognized type of extreme event distinguished by sudden
onset and rapid intensification of drought conditions with severe impacts. They unfold on …

[HTML][HTML] Advances in the application and utility of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions

CJ White, DIV Domeisen, N Acharya… - Bulletin of the …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
The subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictive time scale, encompassing lead times ranging
from 2 weeks to a season, is at the frontier of forecasting science. Forecasts on this time …

Fifty years of research on the Madden‐Julian Oscillation: Recent progress, challenges, and perspectives

X Jiang, ÁF Adames, D Kim… - Journal of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Since its discovery in the early 1970s, the crucial role of the Madden‐Julian Oscillation
(MJO) in the global hydrological cycle and its tremendous influence on high‐impact climate …

Spatiotemporal forecasting in earth system science: Methods, uncertainties, predictability and future directions

L Xu, N Chen, Z Chen, C Zhang, H Yu - Earth-Science Reviews, 2021 - Elsevier
Spatiotemporal forecasting (STF) extends traditional time series forecasting or spatial
interpolation problem to space and time dimensions. Here, we review the statistical, physical …