Characterizing half‐a‐degree difference: a review of methods for identifying regional climate responses to global warming targets

R James, R Washington… - Wiley …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
The Paris Agreement long‐term global temperature goal refers to two global warming levels:
well below 2° C and 1.5° C above preindustrial. Regional climate signals at specific global …

The structure of economic modeling of the potential impacts of climate change: grafting gross underestimation of risk onto already narrow science models

N Stern - Journal of Economic Literature, 2013 - aeaweb.org
Scientists describe the scale of the risks from unmanaged climate change as potentially
immense. However, the scientific models, because they omit key factors that are hard to …

The cloud feedback model intercomparison project (CFMIP) contribution to CMIP6

MJ Webb, T Andrews, A Bodas-Salcedo… - Geoscientific Model …, 2017 - gmd.copernicus.org
The primary objective of CFMIP is to inform future assessments of cloud feedbacks through
improved understanding of cloud–climate feedback mechanisms and better evaluation of …

Pattern scaling: Its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations

C Tebaldi, JM Arblaster - Climatic Change, 2014 - Springer
We review the ideas behind the pattern scaling technique, and focus on its value and
limitations given its use for impact assessment and within integrated assessment models …

Variation in climate sensitivity and feedback parameters during the historical period

JM Gregory, T Andrews - Geophysical Research Letters, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
We investigate the climate feedback parameter α (W m− 2 K− 1) during the historical period
(since 1871) in experiments using the HadGEM2 and HadCM3 atmosphere general …

[HTML][HTML] How accurately can the climate sensitivity to be estimated from historical climate change?

JM Gregory, T Andrews, P Ceppi, T Mauritsen… - Climate Dynamics, 2020 - Springer
The equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS, in K) to\(\hbox {CO} _ {2}\) doubling is a large
source of uncertainty in projections of future anthropogenic climate change. Estimates of …

Understanding the intermodel spread in global-mean hydrological sensitivity

D Fläschner, T Mauritsen, B Stevens - Journal of Climate, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
This paper assesses intermodel spread in the slope of global-mean precipitation change Δ
P with respect to surface temperature change. The ambiguous estimates in the literature for …

Surface warming patterns drive tropical rainfall pattern responses to CO2 forcing on all timescales

R Chadwick, P Good, T Andrews… - Geophysical Research …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Mechanisms behind regional tropical rainfall responses to CO2 forcing are examined in
idealized climate model experiments, traceable to transient forcing scenarios. As previously …

[PDF][PDF] Projected future changes in mean precipitation over Thailand based on multi-model regional climate simulations of CORDEX Southeast Asia

F Tangang, J Santisirisomboon, L Juneng… - International Journal of …, 2019 - academia.edu
This paper highlights detailed projected changes in rainfall over Thailand for the early (2011–
2040), middle (2041–2070) and late (2071–2099) periods of the 21st century under the …

Global‐mean radiative feedbacks and forcing in atmosphere‐only and coupled atmosphere‐ocean climate change experiments

MA Ringer, T Andrews, MJ Webb - Geophysical Research …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Analysis of the available Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models
suggests that sea surface temperature‐forced, atmosphere‐only global warming …