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2023 temperatures reflect steady global warming and internal sea surface temperature variability
Abstract 2023 was the warmest year on record, influenced by multiple warm ocean basins.
This has prompted speculation of an acceleration in surface warming, or a stronger than …
This has prompted speculation of an acceleration in surface warming, or a stronger than …
Lucie: A lightweight uncoupled climate emulator with long-term stability and physical consistency for o (1000)-member ensembles
We present a lightweight, easy-to-train, low-resolution, fully data-driven climate emulator,
LUCIE, that can be trained on as low as $2 $ years of $6 $-hourly ERA5 data. Unlike most …
LUCIE, that can be trained on as low as $2 $ years of $6 $-hourly ERA5 data. Unlike most …
Crucial role of sea surface temperature warming patterns in near-term high-impact weather and climate projection
Recent studies indicate that virtually all global climate models (GCMs) have had difficulty
simulating sea surface temperature (SST) trend patterns over the past four decades. GCMs …
simulating sea surface temperature (SST) trend patterns over the past four decades. GCMs …
Convolutional neural networks trained on internal variability predict forced response of TOA radiation by learning the pattern effect
Predicting forced, long‐term radiative feedbacks from internal climate variability has been a
decades‐long quest in climate science. We train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to …
decades‐long quest in climate science. We train a convolutional neural network (CNN) to …
Dependence of tropical cyclone seeds and climate sensitivity on tropical cloud response
Projections of future tropical cyclone frequency are uncertain, ranging from a slight increase
to a considerable decrease according to climate models. Estimation of how much the Earth's …
to a considerable decrease according to climate models. Estimation of how much the Earth's …
Factors determining tropical upper-level cloud radiative effect in the radiative-convective equilibrium framework
Investigation of the major factors determining tropical upper-level cloud radiative effect
(TUCRE) is crucial for understanding cloud feedback mechanisms. We examined the …
(TUCRE) is crucial for understanding cloud feedback mechanisms. We examined the …
Potential near‐term wetting of the Southwestern United States if the Eastern and Central Pacific cooling trend reverses
Near‐term projections of drought in the southwestern United States (SWUS) are uncertain.
The observed decrease in SWUS precipitation since the 1980s and heightened drought …
The observed decrease in SWUS precipitation since the 1980s and heightened drought …
Origin and limits of invariant warming patterns in climate models
P Giani, AM Fiore, G Flierl, R Ferrari… - arxiv preprint arxiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
Climate models exhibit an approximately invariant surface warming pattern in typical end-of-
century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact …
century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact …
Diagnosing the factors that contribute to the intermodel spread of climate feedback in CMIP6
The global surface temperature climate feedback parameter λ varies significantly across
climate models, and its real-world value remains uncertain. Studies have found that the sea …
climate models, and its real-world value remains uncertain. Studies have found that the sea …
El Niño and sea surface temperature pattern effects lead to historically high global mean surface temperatures in 2023
N Jiang, C Zhu, ZZ Hu, MJ McPhaden… - Geophysical …, 2025 - Wiley Online Library
In 2023, the world experienced its highest ever global mean surface temperature (GMST).
Our study underscores the pivotal significance of El Niño and sea surface temperature (SST) …
Our study underscores the pivotal significance of El Niño and sea surface temperature (SST) …