The key operation in Bayesian inference is to compute high-dimensional integrals. An old
approximate technique is the Laplace method or approximation, which dates back to Pierre …

Highlights•Population dynamics change with climate means, variances, or the
interaction.•Discrete generations plus climate change can lead to developmental …

Animal populations have undergone substantial declines in recent decades. These declines
have occurred alongside rapid, human‐driven environmental change, including climate …

Recent climate and land‐use changes are having substantial impacts on biodiversity,
including population declines, range shifts, and changes in community composition …

The ongoing changes to climate challenge the conservation of forest biodiversity. Yet, in
thermally limited systems, such as temperate forests, not all species groups might be …

With the aim of supporting ecological analyses in butterflies, the third most species-rich
superfamily of Lepidoptera, this paper presents the first time-calibrated phylogeny of all 496 …

The increasing conversion of agricultural and natural areas to human‐dominated urban
landscapes is predicted to lead to a major decline in biodiversity worldwide. Two conditions …

The Earth's ecosystems are under unprecedented pressure, yet the nature of contemporary
biodiversity change is not well understood. Growing evidence that community size is …

Bat populations are thought to have suffered significant declines in the past century
throughout Europe. Fortunately, there are some signs of recovery; for instance, of the 11 …

Climate change has had well‐documented impacts on the distribution and phenology of
species across many taxa, but impacts on species' abundance, which relates closely to …