Prediction and projection of heatwaves
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …
Heat waves: Physical understanding and scientific challenges
Heat waves (HWs) can cause large socioeconomic and environmental impacts. The
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …
Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …
Changing state of the climate system
2 Chapter 2 assesses observed large-scale changes in climate system drivers, key climate
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia
Persistent heat extremes can have severe impacts on ecosystems and societies, including
excess mortality, wildfires, and harvest failures. Here we identify Europe as a heatwave …
excess mortality, wildfires, and harvest failures. Here we identify Europe as a heatwave …
Presentation and evaluation of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR climate model
This study presents the global climate model IPSL‐CM6A‐LR developed at Institut Pierre‐
Simon Laplace (IPSL) to study natural climate variability and climate response to natural and …
Simon Laplace (IPSL) to study natural climate variability and climate response to natural and …
The EC-earth3 Earth system model for the climate model intercomparison project 6
The Earth System Model EC-Earth3 for contributions to CMIP6 is documented here, with its
flexible coupling framework, major model configurations, a methodology for ensuring the …
flexible coupling framework, major model configurations, a methodology for ensuring the …
Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
Atmospheric blocking and weather extremes over the Euro-Atlantic sector–a review
The physical understanding and timely prediction of extreme weather events are of
enormous importance to society due to their associated impacts. In this article, we highlight …
enormous importance to society due to their associated impacts. In this article, we highlight …
Advances in understanding large‐scale responses of the water cycle to climate change
Globally, thermodynamics explains an increase in atmospheric water vapor with warming of
around 7%/° C near to the surface. In contrast, global precipitation and evaporation are …
around 7%/° C near to the surface. In contrast, global precipitation and evaporation are …