Prediction and projection of heatwaves

DIV Domeisen, EAB Eltahir, EM Fischer… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …

Heat waves: Physical understanding and scientific challenges

D Barriopedro, R García‐Herrera… - Reviews of …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Heat waves (HWs) can cause large socioeconomic and environmental impacts. The
observed increases in their frequency, intensity and duration are projected to continue with …

Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information

JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti… - Climate change 2021 …, 2021 - cambridge.org
This chapter assesses simulations of future global climate change, spanning time horizons
from the near term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and long term (2081–2100) out to …

Changing state of the climate system

SK Gulev, PW Thorne, J Ahn, FJ Dentener… - 2021 - centaur.reading.ac.uk
2 Chapter 2 assesses observed large-scale changes in climate system drivers, key climate
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …

Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia

E Rousi, K Kornhuber, G Beobide-Arsuaga… - Nature …, 2022 - nature.com
Persistent heat extremes can have severe impacts on ecosystems and societies, including
excess mortality, wildfires, and harvest failures. Here we identify Europe as a heatwave …

Presentation and evaluation of the IPSL‐CM6A‐LR climate model

O Boucher, J Servonnat, AL Albright… - Journal of Advances …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
This study presents the global climate model IPSL‐CM6A‐LR developed at Institut Pierre‐
Simon Laplace (IPSL) to study natural climate variability and climate response to natural and …

The EC-earth3 Earth system model for the climate model intercomparison project 6

R Döscher, M Acosta, A Alessandri… - Geoscientific Model …, 2021 - gmd.copernicus.org
The Earth System Model EC-Earth3 for contributions to CMIP6 is documented here, with its
flexible coupling framework, major model configurations, a methodology for ensuring the …

Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)

V Eyring, NP Gillett, KM Achuta Rao, R Barimalala… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …

Atmospheric blocking and weather extremes over the Euro-Atlantic sector–a review

LA Kautz, O Martius, S Pfahl, JG Pinto… - Weather and Climate …, 2021 - wcd.copernicus.org
The physical understanding and timely prediction of extreme weather events are of
enormous importance to society due to their associated impacts. In this article, we highlight …

Advances in understanding large‐scale responses of the water cycle to climate change

RP Allan, M Barlow, MP Byrne… - Annals of the New …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Globally, thermodynamics explains an increase in atmospheric water vapor with warming of
around 7%/° C near to the surface. In contrast, global precipitation and evaporation are …