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TRIAGE: Characterizing and auditing training data for improved regression
Data quality is crucial for robust machine learning algorithms, with the recent interest in data-
centric AI emphasizing the importance of training data characterization. However, current …
centric AI emphasizing the importance of training data characterization. However, current …
[HTML][HTML] A novel day-ahead regional and probabilistic wind power forecasting framework using deep CNNs and conformalized regression forests
Regional forecasting is crucial for a balanced energy delivery system and for achieving the
global transition to clean energy. However, regional wind forecasting is challenging due to …
global transition to clean energy. However, regional wind forecasting is challenging due to …
Guaranteed coverage prediction intervals with Gaussian process regression
H Papadopoulos - IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a popular regression method, which unlike most
Machine Learning techniques, provides estimates of uncertainty for its predictions. These …
Machine Learning techniques, provides estimates of uncertainty for its predictions. These …
Jaws: Auditing predictive uncertainty under covariate shift
Abstract We propose\textbf {JAWS}, a series of wrapper methods for distribution-free
uncertainty quantification tasks under covariate shift, centered on the core method\textbf …
uncertainty quantification tasks under covariate shift, centered on the core method\textbf …
Easy Uncertainty Quantification (EasyUQ): Generating predictive distributions from single-valued model output
How can we quantify uncertainty if our favorite computational tool---be it a numerical,
statistical, or machine learning approach, or just any computer model---provides single …
statistical, or machine learning approach, or just any computer model---provides single …
Calibrated uncertainty quantification for operator learning via conformal prediction
Operator learning has been increasingly adopted in scientific and engineering applications,
many of which require calibrated uncertainty quantification. Since the output of operator …
many of which require calibrated uncertainty quantification. Since the output of operator …
crepes: a Python package for generating conformal regressors and predictive systems
H Boström - Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
The recently released Python package crepes can be used to generate both conformal
regressors, which transform point predictions into prediction intervals for specified levels of …
regressors, which transform point predictions into prediction intervals for specified levels of …
Conditional Calibrated Explanations: Finding a Path Between Bias and Uncertainty
Abstract While Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning models are becoming
increasingly prevalent, it is essential to remember that they are not infallible or inherently …
increasingly prevalent, it is essential to remember that they are not infallible or inherently …
Calibrating probabilistic predictions of quantile regression forests with conformal predictive systems
D Wang, P Wang, C Wang, P Wang - Pattern recognition letters, 2022 - Elsevier
Quantile regression forests (QRF) is a generalization of random forests for quantile
regression, which can also output probabilistic prediction for regression problems. QRF …
regression, which can also output probabilistic prediction for regression problems. QRF …
Conformal predictive distribution trees
Being able to understand the logic behind predictions or recommendations on the instance
level is at the heart of trustworthy machine learning models. Inherently interpretable models …
level is at the heart of trustworthy machine learning models. Inherently interpretable models …