TRIAGE: Characterizing and auditing training data for improved regression

N Seedat, J Crabbé, Z Qian… - Advances in Neural …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Data quality is crucial for robust machine learning algorithms, with the recent interest in data-
centric AI emphasizing the importance of training data characterization. However, current …

[HTML][HTML] A novel day-ahead regional and probabilistic wind power forecasting framework using deep CNNs and conformalized regression forests

J Jonkers, DN Avendano, G Van Wallendael… - Applied Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Regional forecasting is crucial for a balanced energy delivery system and for achieving the
global transition to clean energy. However, regional wind forecasting is challenging due to …

Guaranteed coverage prediction intervals with Gaussian process regression

H Papadopoulos - IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a popular regression method, which unlike most
Machine Learning techniques, provides estimates of uncertainty for its predictions. These …

Jaws: Auditing predictive uncertainty under covariate shift

D Prinster, A Liu, S Saria - Advances in Neural Information …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Abstract We propose\textbf {JAWS}, a series of wrapper methods for distribution-free
uncertainty quantification tasks under covariate shift, centered on the core method\textbf …

Easy Uncertainty Quantification (EasyUQ): Generating predictive distributions from single-valued model output

EM Walz, A Henzi, J Ziegel, T Gneiting - Siam Review, 2024 - SIAM
How can we quantify uncertainty if our favorite computational tool---be it a numerical,
statistical, or machine learning approach, or just any computer model---provides single …

Calibrated uncertainty quantification for operator learning via conformal prediction

Z Ma, K Azizzadenesheli, A Anandkumar - arxiv preprint arxiv:2402.01960, 2024 - arxiv.org
Operator learning has been increasingly adopted in scientific and engineering applications,
many of which require calibrated uncertainty quantification. Since the output of operator …

crepes: a Python package for generating conformal regressors and predictive systems

H Boström - Conformal and Probabilistic Prediction with …, 2022 - proceedings.mlr.press
The recently released Python package crepes can be used to generate both conformal
regressors, which transform point predictions into prediction intervals for specified levels of …

Conditional Calibrated Explanations: Finding a Path Between Bias and Uncertainty

H Löfström, T Löfström - World Conference on Explainable Artificial …, 2024 - Springer
Abstract While Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning models are becoming
increasingly prevalent, it is essential to remember that they are not infallible or inherently …

Calibrating probabilistic predictions of quantile regression forests with conformal predictive systems

D Wang, P Wang, C Wang, P Wang - Pattern recognition letters, 2022 - Elsevier
Quantile regression forests (QRF) is a generalization of random forests for quantile
regression, which can also output probabilistic prediction for regression problems. QRF …

Conformal predictive distribution trees

U Johansson, T Löfström, H Boström - Annals of Mathematics and Artificial …, 2023 - Springer
Being able to understand the logic behind predictions or recommendations on the instance
level is at the heart of trustworthy machine learning models. Inherently interpretable models …