El Niño–southern oscillation complexity

A Timmermann, SI An, JS Kug, FF **, W Cai… - Nature, 2018 - nature.com
El Niño events are characterized by surface warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean and
weakening of equatorial trade winds that occur every few years. Such conditions are …

ENSO diversity from an atmospheric perspective

YM Okumura - Current Climate Change Reports, 2019 - Springer
Abstract Purpose of Review The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon exhibits
considerable diversity in the amplitude, pattern, and temporal evolution. The processes …

[HTML][HTML] Conditional Gaussian systems for multiscale nonlinear stochastic systems: Prediction, state estimation and uncertainty quantification

N Chen, AJ Majda - Entropy, 2018 - mdpi.com
A conditional Gaussian framework for understanding and predicting complex multiscale
nonlinear stochastic systems is developed. Despite the conditional Gaussianity, such …

A simple multiscale intermediate coupled stochastic model for El Niño diversity and complexity

N Chen, X Fang - Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most prominent interannual climate
variability in the tropics and exhibits diverse features in spatiotemporal patterns. This paper …

Simple ENSO models

FF **, HC Chen, S Zhao, M Hayashi… - El Niño Southern …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The fundamental dynamical mechanisms of the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
phenomenon have been extensively studied since Bjerknes envisioned ocean‐atmosphere …

Present-day warm pool constrains future tropical precipitation

IH Park, SW Yeh, SK Min, YG Ham… - Communications Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
Future changes in tropical precipitation affect the livelihood of the world's human population
and ecosystems. Climate models project an increased rainfall intensification under …

Two leading ENSO modes and El Niño types in the Zebiak–Cane model

R **e, FF ** - Journal of Climate, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Modern instrumental records reveal that El Niño events differ in their spatial patterns and
temporal evolutions. Attempts have been made to categorize them roughly into two main …

Contrasting transition complexity between El Niño and La Niña: Observations and CMIP5/6 models

SW Fang, JY Yu - Geophysical Research Letters, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The observed El Niño and La Niña exhibit different complexities in their event‐to‐
event transition patterns. The El Niño is dominated in order by episodic, cyclic, and multiyear …

Nonlinear stochastic parabolic partial differential equations with a monotone operator of the Ladyzenskaya-Smagorinsky type, driven by a Lévy noise

P Nguyen, K Tawri, R Temam - Journal of Functional Analysis, 2021 - Elsevier
The aim of this article is to show the global existence of both martingale and pathwise
solutions of stochastic equations with a monotone operator, of the Ladyzenskaya …

Simple stochastic dynamical models capturing the statistical diversity of El Niño Southern Oscillation

N Chen, AJ Majda - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2017 - pnas.org
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has significant impact on global climate and
seasonal prediction. A simple modeling framework is developed here that automatically …