Achievements and needs for the climate change scenario framework
Long-term global scenarios have underpinned research and assessment of global
environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change …
environmental change for four decades. Over the past ten years, the climate change …
[HTML][HTML] Energy efficiency and economy-wide rebound effects: A review of the evidence and its implications
The majority of global energy scenarios anticipate a structural break in the relationship
between energy consumption and gross domestic product (GDP), with several scenarios …
between energy consumption and gross domestic product (GDP), with several scenarios …
Impact of declining renewable energy costs on electrification in low-emission scenarios
Cost degression in photovoltaics, wind-power and battery storage has been faster than
previously anticipated. In the future, climate policy to limit global warming to 1.5–2° C will …
previously anticipated. In the future, climate policy to limit global warming to 1.5–2° C will …
Diverse carbon dioxide removal approaches could reduce impacts on the energy–water–land system
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is a critical tool in all plans to limit warming to below 1.5° C,
but only a few CDR pathways have been incorporated into integrated assessment models …
but only a few CDR pathways have been incorporated into integrated assessment models …
[HTML][HTML] Climate model projections from the scenario model intercomparison project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6
Abstract The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) defines and
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …
coordinates the main set of future climate projections, based on concentration-driven …
[PDF][PDF] Mitigation pathways compatible with long-term goals
Chapter 3 takes a long-term perspective on climate change mitigation pathways. Its focus is
on the implications of long-term targets for the required short-and medium-term system …
on the implications of long-term targets for the required short-and medium-term system …
[HTML][HTML] Global energy perspectives to 2060–WEC's World Energy Scenarios 2019
The recent signals in the energy sector indicate a major transformation taking shape in the
energy sector in the decades to come. The potential trends are highlighted in three …
energy sector in the decades to come. The potential trends are highlighted in three …
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands
Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for
atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate …
atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate …
Net-zero emissions energy systems
BACKGROUND Net emissions of CO2 by human activities—including not only energy
services and industrial production but also land use and agriculture—must approach zero in …
services and industrial production but also land use and agriculture—must approach zero in …
[HTML][HTML] Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the …
We present a suite of nine scenarios of future emissions trajectories of anthropogenic
sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated …
sources, a key deliverable of the ScenarioMIP experiment within CMIP6. Integrated …