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Prior knowledge elicitation: The past, present, and future
Prior Knowledge Elicitation: The Past, Present, and Future Page 1 Bayesian Analysis (2024)
19, Number 4, pp. 1129–1161 Prior Knowledge Elicitation: The Past, Present, and Future ∗ …
19, Number 4, pp. 1129–1161 Prior Knowledge Elicitation: The Past, Present, and Future ∗ …
Detecting and diagnosing prior and likelihood sensitivity with power-scaling
N Kallioinen, T Paananen, PC Bürkner… - Statistics and Computing, 2024 - Springer
Determining the sensitivity of the posterior to perturbations of the prior and likelihood is an
important part of the Bayesian workflow. We introduce a practical and computationally …
important part of the Bayesian workflow. We introduce a practical and computationally …
Cross-validatory extreme value threshold selection and uncertainty with application to ocean storm severity
PJ Northrop, N Attalides… - Journal of the Royal …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
Design conditions for marine structures are typically informed by threshold-based extreme
value analyses of oceanographic variables, in which excesses of a high threshold are …
value analyses of oceanographic variables, in which excesses of a high threshold are …
SAM: Self-adapting mixture prior to dynamically borrow information from historical data in clinical trials
Mixture priors provide an intuitive way to incorporate historical data while accounting for
potential prior-data conflict by combining an informative prior with a noninformative prior …
potential prior-data conflict by combining an informative prior with a noninformative prior …
Credal Bayesian deep learning
Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distribution shifts are important goals in
machine learning and artificial intelligence. Although Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) …
machine learning and artificial intelligence. Although Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) …
Propensity‐score‐based priors for Bayesian augmented control design
J Lin, M Gamalo‐Siebers, R Tiwari - Pharmaceutical Statistics, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Drug developers are required to demonstrate substantial evidence of effectiveness through
the conduct of adequate and well‐controlled (A&WC) studies to obtain marketing approval of …
the conduct of adequate and well‐controlled (A&WC) studies to obtain marketing approval of …
Quantification of prior impact in terms of effective current sample size
M Wiesenfarth, S Calderazzo - Biometrics, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Bayesian methods allow borrowing of historical information through prior distributions. The
concept of prior effective sample size (prior ESS) facilitates quantification and …
concept of prior effective sample size (prior ESS) facilitates quantification and …
Checking for prior-data conflict using prior-to-posterior divergences
When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, checking consistency of the
information contributed by different components of the model for inference is good statistical …
information contributed by different components of the model for inference is good statistical …
Ensuring exchangeability in data‐based priors for a Bayesian analysis of clinical trials
J Lin, M Gamalo‐Siebers, R Tiwari - Pharmaceutical Statistics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
In many orphan diseases and pediatric indications, the randomized controlled trials may be
infeasible because of their size, duration, and cost. Leveraging information on the control …
infeasible because of their size, duration, and cost. Leveraging information on the control …
A BFFer's exploration with nuisance constructs: Bayesian p-value, H-likelihood, and Cauchyanity
XL Meng - Handbook of Bayesian, Fiducial, and Frequentist …, 2024 - books.google.com
Scientific inquiries seek evidence to establish, support, or challenge theories and
arguments. Therefore, hypothesis testing and statistical estimation, including prediction and …
arguments. Therefore, hypothesis testing and statistical estimation, including prediction and …