Early-warning signals for critical transitions
Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate,
can have tip** points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may …
can have tip** points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may …
Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems
All ecosystems are exposed to gradual changes in climate, nutrient loading, habitat
fragmentation or biotic exploitation. Nature is usually assumed to respond to gradual change …
fragmentation or biotic exploitation. Nature is usually assumed to respond to gradual change …
[HTML][HTML] Warning of a forthcoming collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is a major tip** element in the
climate system and a future collapse would have severe impacts on the climate in the North …
climate system and a future collapse would have severe impacts on the climate in the North …
A pervasive millennial-scale cycle in North Atlantic Holocene and glacial climates
G Bond, W Showers, M Cheseby, R Lotti, P Almasi… - science, 1997 - science.org
Evidence from North Atlantic deep sea cores reveals that abrupt shifts punctuated what is
conventionally thought to have been a relatively stable Holocene climate. During each of …
conventionally thought to have been a relatively stable Holocene climate. During each of …
Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle
MR Allen, WJ Ingram - Nature, 2002 - nature.com
What can we say about changes in the hydrologic cycle on 50-year timescales when we
cannot predict rainfall next week? Eventually, perhaps, a great deal: the overall climate …
cannot predict rainfall next week? Eventually, perhaps, a great deal: the overall climate …
Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series
The analysis of univariate or multivariate time series provides crucial information to describe,
understand, and predict climatic variability. The discovery and implementation of a number …
understand, and predict climatic variability. The discovery and implementation of a number …
Collapse and rapid resumption of Atlantic meridional circulation linked to deglacial climate changes
The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is widely believed to affect climate. Changes
in ocean circulation have been inferred from records of the deep water chemical …
in ocean circulation have been inferred from records of the deep water chemical …
Holocene climatic instability: A prominent, widespread event 8200 yr ago
The most prominent Holocene climatic event in Greenland ice-core proxies, with
approximately half the amplitude of the Younger Dryas, occurred∼ 8000 to 8400 yr ago …
approximately half the amplitude of the Younger Dryas, occurred∼ 8000 to 8400 yr ago …
Observations, inferences, and mechanisms of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: A review
This is a review about the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), its mean
structure, temporal variability, controlling mechanisms, and role in the coupled climate …
structure, temporal variability, controlling mechanisms, and role in the coupled climate …
Ice melt, sea level rise and superstorms: evidence from paleoclimate data, climate modeling, and modern observations that 2 C global warming could be dangerous
We use numerical climate simulations, paleoclimate data, and modern observations to study
the effect of growing ice melt from Antarctica and Greenland. Meltwater tends to stabilize the …
the effect of growing ice melt from Antarctica and Greenland. Meltwater tends to stabilize the …