Persistence probabilities and exponents

LN Andersen, S Asmussen, F Aurzada… - Lévy Matters V …, 2015 - Springer
This article deals with the asymptotic behavior as t →+ ∞ of the survival function PT> t,
where T is the first passage time above a non negative level of a random process starting …

First-passage times for random walks with nonidentically distributed increments

D Denisov, A Sakhanenko, V Wachtel - 2018 - projecteuclid.org
We consider random walks with independent but not necessarily identical distributed
increments. Assuming that the increments satisfy the well-known Lindeberg condition, we …

Persistence of iterated partial sums

A Dembo, J Ding, F Gao - Annales de l'IHP Probabilités et statistiques, 2013 - numdam.org
Persistence of iterated partial sums Page 1 www.imstat.org/aihp Annales de l’Institut Henri
Poincaré - Probabilités et Statistiques 2013, Vol. 49, No. 3, 873–884 DOI: 10.1214/11-AIHP452 …

Persistence of one-dimensional AR (1)-sequences

G Hinrichs, M Kolb, V Wachtel - Journal of Theoretical Probability, 2020 - Springer
For a class of one-dimensional autoregressive sequences (X_n)(X n), we consider the tail
behaviour of the stop** time T_0=\min { n ≥ 1: X_n ≤ 0 } T 0= min n≥ 1: X n≤ 0. We …

[PDF][PDF] Bibliography of small deviation probabilities

MA Lifshits - Updated version downloadable from http://www. proba …, 2006 - Citeseer
Some general theoretical works on Gaussian measures are also included whenever they
treat inequalities widely used in small deviation theory. Also included are the relevant …

Survival probabilities of autoregressive processes

C Baumgarten - ESAIM: Probability and Statistics, 2014 - cambridge.org
Given an autoregressive process X of order p (ie Xn= a1Xn− 1+···+ apXn− p+ Yn where the
random variables Y1, Y2,... are iid), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that …

[PDF][PDF] Persistence probabilities for a bridge of an integrated simple random walk

F Aurzada, S Dereich, M Lifshits - Probab. Math. Statist, 2014 - math.uni.wroc.pl
We prove that an integrated simple random walk, where random walk and integrated
random walk are conditioned to return to zero, has asymptotic probability n− 1/2 to stay …

Persistence exponents in Markov chains

F Aurzada, S Mukherjee, O Zeitouni - Annales de l'Institut Henri …, 2021 - projecteuclid.org
We prove the existence of the persistence exponent log λ:= lim n→∞ 1 n log P μ (X 0∈ S,…,
X n∈ S) for a class of time homogeneous Markov chains {X i} i≥ 0 taking values in a Polish …

Persistence probabilities of weighted sums of stationary Gaussian sequences

F Aurzada, S Mukherjee - Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2023 - Elsevier
With {ξ i} i≥ 0 being a centered stationary Gaussian sequence with non-negative correlation
function ρ (i)≔ E [ξ 0 ξ i] and {σ (i)} i≥ 1 a sequence of positive reals, we study the …

Persistence for a class of order-one autoregressive processes and Mallows-Riordan polynomials

G Alsmeyer, A Bostan, K Raschel, T Simon - Advances in Applied …, 2023 - Elsevier
This work establishes exact formulae for the persistence probabilities pk (θ)= P [Y 1⩾ 0,…, Y
k⩾ 0] of an AR (1) sequence Y n= θ Y n− 1+ X n, n= 1, 2,… with parameter θ∈ R﹨(1 2, 2) …