Crustal deformation patterns are affected by multiscale granulation and healing processes
associated with phase transitions between continuum and discrete states of rocks. The …

Statistical methods and various models in time-space-magnitude parameter space of
earthquakes are being developed to analyze seismic activity based on earthquake …

Point processes have been dominant in modeling the evolution of seismicity for decades,
with the epidemic‐type aftershock sequence (ETAS) model being most popular. Recent …

We propose a new physically based “multifractal stress activation” model of earthquake
interaction and triggering based on two simple ingredients:(1) a seismic rupture results from …

We fit various forms of the ETAS model to a large region that includes all of the most
seismically active areas of New Zealand. The ETAS model contains two components: a …

Many accounts, anecdotal and statistical, have noted a causal effect on volcanic eruptions
from large, not too distant, earthquakes. Physical mechanisms have been proposed that …

Coeval rupture of imbricate reverse faults increases the moment magnitude (M w) of the
resulting earthquake. Detailed map** and paleoseismic data can yield useful insights into …

The long-term recurrence of strong earthquakes is often modeled according to stationary
Poisson processes for the sake of simplicity. However, renewal and self-correcting point …

We show how a stochastic version of a general load-and-discharge model for volcanic
eruptions can be implemented. The model tracks the history of the volcano through a …

This paper presents a new method, namely the gambling score, for scoring the performance
earthquake forecasts or predictions. Unlike most other scoring procedures that require a …